Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42475361›Full record

ArticleVeterinary medicine and science2026

Seasonal Variation and Health Risk Assessment of Aflatoxin M1 in Milk From the Central Region of Iran.

Pedram Hashemi, Mohammadhosein Movassaghghazani, Milica Zekovic

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Article in Veterinary medicine and science, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Pedram HashemiFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Shab.C., Islamic Azad University, Shabestar, Iran.
Mohammadhosein MovassaghghazaniDepartment of Food Hygiene and Quality Control, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Shab.C., Islamic Azad University, Shabestar, Iran.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2201-4529
Milica ZekovicCentre of Research Excellence in Nutrition and Metabolism, Institute for Medical Research, National Institute of Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAflatoxin M1 (AFM1) contamination in milk is a major public health concern due to its carcinogenicity and resistance to processing.

objectivesThis study assessed seasonal variation in AFM1 levels across raw, pasteurized and ultra-high-temperature (UHT) milk and quantified associated non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risks.

methodsA total of 180 samples were collected over four seasons (October 2024-2025), and AFM1 concentrations were measured using HPLC-fluorescence detector (FLD). Distributional characteristics were described using medians and 95th percentile (P95) values, and prevalence estimates were reported with 95% confidence intervals. A health risk assessment was conducted using the estimated daily intake (EDI), hazard index (HI) and margin of exposure (MOE). RESULTS AND

conclusionsAFM1 was detected in all samples (6.10-176.20 ng/kg). Overall, 23.33% (95% CI: 17.7%-30.1%) exceeded the Iranian limit (100 ng/kg), and 58.88% (95% CI: 51.6%-65.8%) surpassed the EU limit (50 ng/kg). Seasonal analysis showed substantially higher contamination during warm months, with raw milk in summer presenting the highest upper tail concentration (P95: 168.57 ng/kg). Risk assessment based on P95 exposure indicated medium non-carcinogenic risk (HI: 1-10) for children across all milk types and for adults consuming raw milk. Carcinogenic risk characterization showed MOE values below 10000 for children consuming raw and pasteurized milk, indicating inadequate safety margins. These findings demonstrate that reliance on mean AFM1 concentrations underestimates health risks, especially for children. The pronounced seasonal patterns highlight the need for strengthened monitoring and targeted control strategies, with priority given to raw milk during warm seasons to protect vulnerable paediatric populations in Iran.

Indexed as

Aflatoxin M1Food ContaminationMilkSeasonsAnimalsIranRisk AssessmentAflatoxin M1aflatoxin M1HPLCmilkrisk assessmentseasonal variation

Identifiers

PMID42475361
PMCPMC13384337

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.