Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42474784›Full record

ArticleScience progress

Machine learning-based incident duration prediction integrated with microscopic traffic simulation for expressway resilience evaluation.

Ronnakorn Nakkliang, Noppakun Boongrapue, Ratthaphong Meesit

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science progress. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ronnakorn NakkliangDepartment of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Burapha University, Chon Buri, Thailand.
Noppakun BoongrapueDepartment of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Burapha University, Chon Buri, Thailand.
Ratthaphong MeesitDepartment of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Burapha University, Chon Buri, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0001-5964-0545

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Traffic incidents are a primary contributor to non-recurrent congestion on urban expressway networks, generating economic, safety, and operational impacts. Although machine learning has shown promise for incident duration prediction, a gap remains between predictive modelling and practical integration into traffic management workflows. This study proposes an integrated resilience-based decision-support framework that couples machine learning-based incident duration prediction with microscopic traffic simulation to support evidence-based incident management. A dataset of 2,772 incident records from the Expressway Authority of Thailand (EXAT) was used to train and evaluate four tree-based ensemble models: Random Forest, XGBoost, CatBoost, and LightGBM. LightGBM achieved the best test performance, with a test R

Indexed as

expresswayincident duration predictionmachine learningresilience assessmenttraffic simulation

Identifiers

PMID42474784
PMCPMC13385602

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.