Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42468112›Full record

ArticleEBioMedicine2026

Association between GDF-15 and sarcopenia progression in older adults: results from a population-based study.

Yuh-Shiou Gu, Alice Margherita Ornago, Caterina Gregorio, Chiara Ceolin, Anna Picca, Riccardo Calvani, Emanuele Marzetti, Birger C Forsberg, Davide Liborio Vetrano

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EBioMedicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yuh-Shiou GuDepartment of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, Tainan, Taiwan.
Alice Margherita OrnagoAging Research Center, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet and Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden. Electronic address: alice.margherita.ornago@ki.se.
Caterina GregorioAging Research Center, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet and Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Chiara CeolinAging Research Center, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet and Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; Geriatrics Division, Padova University Hospital, Padova, Italy; Department of Medicine (DIMED), Padova University Hospital, Padova, Italy.
Anna PiccaDepartment of Medicine and Surgery, LUM University, Casamassima, Italy; Fondazione Policlinico Universitario "Agostino Gemelli" IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Riccardo CalvaniFondazione Policlinico Universitario "Agostino Gemelli" IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Department of Geriatrics, Orthopedics and Rheumatology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
Emanuele MarzettiFondazione Policlinico Universitario "Agostino Gemelli" IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Department of Geriatrics, Orthopedics and Rheumatology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
Birger C ForsbergDepartment of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Davide Liborio VetranoAging Research Center, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet and Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; Stockholm Gerontology Research Center, Stockholm, Sweden.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGrowth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), a stress-induced cytokine, has been implicated in pathways related to muscle degeneration, although findings regarding its association with sarcopenia remain heterogeneous. This study investigated the association between serum levels of GDF-15 and sarcopenia progression in community-dwelling older adults.

methods2347 individuals (mean age 72.3 years [SD 10.4]; 61.6% women), participating in the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen, were included in the study. Sarcopenia status (no, probable, and confirmed sarcopenia) were defined according to modified European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People 2 criteria. Twelve-year longitudinal sarcopenia trajectories were identified through latent class analysis. GDF-15 was measured in serum samples collected at baseline. Logistic regression was employed to assess the associations between GDF-15 and sarcopenia progression.

findingsTwo trajectories of sarcopenia were identified: an early-progression pattern around the age of 70 and a later-progression pattern around the age of 80. Baseline sarcopenia prevalence differed between trajectories (p < 0.001), and GDF-15 levels were higher in the early trajectory (1.00 ng/mL vs. 0.86 ng/mL, p < 0.001). In adjusted multinomial logistic models, higher GDF-15 was associated with greater odds of probable (aOR = 1.6; 95% CI: 1.2-2.0) and confirmed sarcopenia (aOR = 1.9; 95% CI: 1.3-2.6). GDF-15 levels were also linked to increased odds of belonging to the early progression trajectory (aOR = 1.5; 95% CI: 1.2-1.9), with the association driven by the highest quintiles.

interpretationGDF-15 reflects biological processes linked to muscle degeneration and may provide complementary information alongside established measures of sarcopenia in community-dwelling older adults.

fundingThe Swedish Research Council, the Swedish Ministry of Health and Social Affairs, and the County Councils and Municipalities.

Indexed as

Growth Differentiation Factor 15SarcopeniaAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleSwedenBiomarkersGDF15 protein, humanGrowth Differentiation Factor 15BiomarkerDisease progressionGrowth differentiation factor 15Trajectory

Identifiers

PMID42468112
PMCPMC13400763

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.