Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42444064›Full record

ArticlePsychological medicine2026

A prospective co-twin control analysis of internalizing and externalizing pathways for alcohol, nicotine, and cannabis use problems from adolescence through adulthood.

Katherine T Foster, Daniel J O Roche, William G Iacono, Matt McGue, Brian M Hicks

Abstract readTwin Study
In one paragraph

Article in Psychological medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Katherine T FosterPsychology, https://ror.org/00cvxb145University of Washington, Seattle, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3561-6687
Daniel J O RochePsychiatry, https://ror.org/04rq5mt64University of Maryland Baltimore, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6298-1519
William G IaconoPsychology, https://ror.org/017zqws13University of Minnesota Twin Cities, USA.
Matt McGuePsychology, https://ror.org/017zqws13University of Minnesota Twin Cities, USA.
Brian M HicksPsychology, https://ror.org/00jmfr291University of Michigan, USA.

Funding

TWIN STUDY OF FEMALE ALCOHOLISMS AND OTHER DISORDERSR01AA009367 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI MCGUE, MATTHEW K. · 1992 to 2013
$9.0M
Twin Family Study of Vulnerability to Substance AbuseR37DA005147 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI IACONO, WILLIAM G. · 2009 to 2018
$6.4M
Development of minocycline as a neuroimmune therapy for alcohol use disorderK01AA026005 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI ROCHE, DANIEL · 2017 to 2021
$925k
Delineating Gene, Environment, & Development Interplay in Substance Use DisordersR01DA034606 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI HICKS, BRIAN M · 2013 to 2015
$706k
Estimating Causal Association: Internalizing and Alcohol Use ProblemsF31AA023121 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI FOSTER, KATHERINE TATE · 2014 to 2017
$103k
NIAAA NIH HHS F31 AA023121NIAAA NIH HHS K01 AA026005NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA009367NIDA NIH HHS K01AA026005NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA034606NIDA NIH HHS R37 DA005147
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlcohol, nicotine, and cannabis use problems have a poorer prognosis when they co-occur with internalizing distress (INT). One hypothesis to account for the association between INT and alcohol and substance use problems (SUP) is that people engage in heavy substance use to reduce aversive affective states characteristic of INT (e.g. affective reinforcement). Whether INT operates as a cause or a shared liability with SUP (e.g. shared genetic and environmental risk) over and above an alternative cause (e.g. externalizing problems, EXT) remains unclear.

methodsWe tested INT as a developmental pathway for SUP by applying a prospective, co-twin control approach to the Minnesota Twin and Family Study sample (

resultsWe failed to detect any non-familial causal effects of INT on SUPs. Instead, their associations were due to common genetic and shared environmental influences. In contrast, EXT had consistent non-familial causal influences on alcohol and cannabis use in adolescence and young adulthood.

conclusionsThe link between INT and SUPs is primarily due to shared, familial influences while EXT likely serves as a unique determinant, with elevated EXT increasing selection into situations that pose SUP risk (e.g. peer environments that normalize and sustain heavy use) over and above common genetic influences.

Indexed as

Marijuana AbuseTobacco Use DisorderAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansMaleMinnesotaProspective StudiesYoung Adultadolescenceadulthoodalcohol useco-twin controlexternalizinginternalizing

Identifiers

PMID42444064
PMCPMC13370189

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.