ArticleBone & joint research2026
Comparisons of phantom-based and phantomless QCT bone mineral density for predicting subsequent fractures.
Article in Bone & joint research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Aims: This study aimed to compare the agreement between phantom-based (PB-QCT) and phantomless (PL-QCT) quantitative CT bone mineral density (BMD) measurements, and their predictive utility for subsequent fractures in postmenopausal women following percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) for osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs). Methods: In this prospective cohort study, 185 OVCF patients underwent lumbar CT with synchronous phantom calibration. BMD was measured via PB-QCT, PL-QCT (using subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT), psoas muscle, or dual-tissue calibration), and vertebral Hounsfield units (vHU). Agreement was assessed via Bland-Altman analysis, and fracture prediction via Cox regression. Results: Dual-tissue PL-QCT showed the highest agreement with PB-QCT (absolute bias: 0.04 to 2.18 mg/cm³). However, PB-QCT demonstrated superior predictive power: per 1-SD decrease, it predicted 20% to 22% increased risk of spinal fractures (adjusted HR = 1.21, p = 0.032) and any-site fractures (HR = 1.20, p = 0.043), maintaining significance after multivariable adjustment. Conclusion: Despite high agreement - especially between PB-QCT and dual-tissue PL-QCT - PB-QCT demonstrated modest but consistent advantages in predicting subsequent fractures over PL-QCT and vHU. These results reinforce the essential role of standardized phantom calibration for accurate fracture risk stratification in post-PKP patients, while also supporting the potential use of PL-QCT and vHU as opportunistic screening tools in settings where phantom calibration is not feasible.
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