Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42432532›Full record

Observational studyBMC gastroenterology2026

Albumin-to-creatinine ratio as non-invasive marker for prediction of non- bleeding esophageal varices. a cross-sectional observational study.

Nasser Mousa, Alaa Elmetwalli, Mostafa Abdelsalam, Mohamed Wahba, Niveen El-Wakeel, Marwa Mansour, Mohamed Selim, Muhammad Diasty, Eman Abdelkader, Adel El-Assmy and 3 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC gastroenterology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Nasser MousaTropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura city, Egypt. mousa_medic@yahoo.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8329-2587
Alaa ElmetwalliPrince Fahad bin Sultan Research Chair for Biomedical Research, University of Tabuk, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia.
Mostafa AbdelsalamInternal Medicine, Nephrology and Dialysis Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.
Mohamed WahbaInternal Medicine, Nephrology and Dialysis Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.
Niveen El-WakeelMedical Microbiology and Immunology Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura National University, Gamasa city, Egypt.
Marwa MansourInternal Medicine, Nephrology and Dialysis Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.
Mohamed SelimInternal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.
Muhammad DiastyTropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura city, Egypt.
Eman AbdelkaderInternal Medicine, Nephrology and Dialysis Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.
Adel El-AssmyFaculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.
Mohammed AbdelazizTropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura city, Egypt.
Ali El-AssmyFaculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.
Ahmed AlhawareyTropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura city, Egypt.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsEsophageal varices (EV) are a frequent complication of liver cirrhosis and a leading cause of gastrointestinal bleeding and mortality. While upper gastrointestinal endoscopy is the preferred method for detecting EV, it may not be feasible in all settings. Non-invasive biomarkers could assist in identifying high-risk patients who should undergo prompt endoscopic evaluation. This study assessed the accuracy of the albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) as a non-invasive predictor of EV in individuals with liver cirrhosis.

methodsThis cross-sectional observational study included 260 adult patients with liver cirrhosis who had not undergone endoscopic screening before. All patients underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy to screen for esophageal varices (EV). Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected, and the albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) was calculated from serum albumin and creatinine levels. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of EV. The diagnostic performance of ACR was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

resultsOut of the 260 patients, 162 (62.3%) had EV. Patients with EV had significantly lower levels of ACR, serum albumin, platelet count, and hemoglobin, and higher levels of creatinine, bilirubin, INR, and MELD score compared to those without esophageal varices (all p < 0.05). Logistic regression analysis revealed a significant inverse relationship between ACR and the presence of EV. lower ACR independently predicted the presence of EV (adjusted OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.41-0.68; p = 0.001). ROC analysis demonstrated that an ACR cutoff ≤ 3.12 predicted EV with 88% sensitivity, 55% specificity, and an area under the curve of 0.683 (p < 0.001).

conclusionThe ACR ratio is a cost-effective biomarker that can assist in identifying cirrhotic patients at higher risk of EV, aiding in the prioritization of endoscopic screening, especially in settings with limited resources.

Indexed as

CreatinineEsophageal and Gastric VaricesLiver CirrhosisSerum AlbuminAdultAgedBiomarkersCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsROC CurveSensitivity and SpecificityBiomarkersCreatinineSerum AlbuminAlbumin to creatinine ratioEsophageal varicesNon-invasive markersPortal hypertension

Identifiers

PMID42432532
PMCPMC13352770

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.