ArticleEcology and evolution2026
Climate-Driven Range Shifts Limit the Role of Non-Native Trees for Adaptation Processes of European Forests.
Article in Ecology and evolution, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Climate change threatens biodiversity and ecosystem services by reducing the suitability of many native tree species in Europe. As the ranges of native species contract, non-native tree species (NNTs) are increasingly considered as potential alternatives in forest management. We analyzed published ensemble species distribution models (SDMs) for 15 non-native and 13 native tree species at 1-km resolution to estimate range shifts of the NNTs and compared range shift patterns of NNTs and native species to identify alternative species under climate change. Most coniferous NNTs are expected to lose suitability in southern and southeastern Europe while expanding northward under climate change. In contrast, broadleaved NNTs such as
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