Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42427807›Full record

ArticleGeoHealth2026

Resurgence of Malaria in Protected and Rural Areas After Successful Control Program in a Brazilian Amazon Municipality.

E B Skinner, D de Angeli Dutra, É Pelegrino, O Damasceno, S Burza, E A Mordecai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in GeoHealth, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

E B SkinnerDepartment of Biology Stanford University Stanford CA USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9032-2710
D de Angeli DutraDepartment of Biology Stanford University Stanford CA USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2341-2035
É PelegrinoHealth in Harmony Altamira Brazil.
O DamascenoFaculty of Medicine Federal University of Pará Altamira Brazil.
S BurzaHealth in Harmony Altamira Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7886-8633
E A MordecaiDepartment of Biology Stanford University Stanford CA USA.

Funding

The child health impacts of overlapping vector-borne diseases in KenyaR01AI102918 · NIAID · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Angelle Desiree LaBeaud · 2013 to 2026
$7.7M
Leveraging environmental drivers to predict vector-borne disease transmissionR35GM133439 · NIGMS · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Erin Mordecai · 2019 to 2026
$3.2M
Modeling the influence of temperature on the evolution of vector-virus interactionsR01AI168097 · NIAID · WADSWORTH CENTER · PI Alexander Timothy Ciota · 2022 to 2026
$2.4M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI102918NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI168097NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM133439
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Malaria eradication requires reducing transmission in endemic areas and maintaining these reductions in areas where elimination has been achieved. In Altamira, a municipality in the Xingu Basin of the Brazilian Amazon, a malaria control program was implemented during the construction of the Belo Monte Dam which eliminated local malaria cases, but resurged in rural areas after these efforts ceased. To elucidate different drivers of malaria transmission in Altamira, before (2006-2012) and after (2017-2020) the construction of Belo Monte Dam and the localized malaria control program, we analyzed annual notified malaria cases alongside geospatial variables including forest edge, population size and travel time to urban centers. Due to the low incidence, malaria case data was clustered based on the geographic proximity of health centers. A total of 17,578 malaria cases were reported in Altamira between 2006 and 2020. Malaria cases exceeded 1,200 per year prior to dam construction, then dropped below 100 during construction, resurging to over 700 cases by 2020 predominantly in rural clusters. Using generalized additive models we found that malaria cases increased significantly with increases in forest edge habitats and local population size, both before and after dam construction, while neither distance to deforestation nor climatic variables explained incidence variation. This study emphasizes that interruptions to control efforts, even when localized, can rapidly reverse gains, and that understanding landscape epidemiology is critical for achieving and maintaining malaria elimination in Amazonian settings.

Indexed as

Amazondeforestationenvironmental driversforest edgemalariaspatial epidemiology

Identifiers

PMID42427807
PMCPMC13347829

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.