Cognitive and affective empathy predict young children's involvement in bullying one year later.

Background: Bullying is a prevalent phenomenon that can have an array of negative impacts on both victims' and perpetrators' long-term health and wellbeing. Despite the widespread assumption that empathy should be a key target for anti-bullying interventions, research examining this relationship is surprisingly scarce, and the evidence base informing the implementation of empathy-focused interventions remains in its infancy. Using data from the Stand Together trial, we examined how affective and cognitive empathy predict the status of victim, bully, and bully-victim. Methods: We used a longitudinal trial with data collected in 2021 and 2022 from 4660 UK primary school children aged 6-11 years, including measures of empathy, victimisation, and involvement in bullying. We used propensity score matching and multinomial logistic regression to explore how children's self-reported empathy towards victims of bullying at baseline predicted their role in bullying at 1-year follow-up. Results: Consistent with existing literature, we found that low affective empathy was a significant predictor of bullying perpetration at follow-up (Odds Ratios (OR) = 0.60, 95% CI [0.45, 0.81], Conclusion: The findings identify high empathy as a new risk factor for peer victimisation and confirm the role of low empathy as a predictor of later bullying perpetration. We discuss how these findings can inform the strategic integration of empathy training to enhance the effectiveness of bullying prevention efforts.