Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42410859›Full record

ArticleMedicine2026

Development and internal validation of a risk prediction model for gastric precancerous lesions integrating Helicobacter pylori serologic typing and host susceptibility polymorphisms.

Huiling Yu, Ping Li, Shujun Gong, Jingwen Zhao, Kui Jiang

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Huiling YuDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin Institute of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin, China.
Ping LiDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin Institute of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin, China.
Shujun GongDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin Institute of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin, China.
Jingwen ZhaoDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin Institute of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin, China.
Kui JiangDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin Institute of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases, Tianjin, China.ORCID 0009-0006-4491-6805

Funding

Tianjin Health Science and Technology Research Project TJWJ2021MS005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aimed to develop and internally validate a clinical risk prediction model for precancerous lesions of gastric cancer (PLGC) in Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori)-positive individuals by integrating H. pylori strain typing, serological gastric function markers, lifestyle factors, and host susceptibility polymorphisms. A total of 82 H. pylori-positive outpatients who underwent gastroscopy with histopathology between July 2020 and December 2021 were enrolled and categorized into a PLGC group (n = 38; chronic atrophic gastritis, intestinal metaplasia, and/or dysplasia) and a non-PLGC control group (n = 44). Demographic, clinical, dietary, and lifestyle information was collected using standardized questionnaires. Fasting blood samples were obtained for pepsinogen I (PG I), pepsinogen II (PG II), pepsinogen I/II ratio (PGR), gastrin-17 (G-17), and serologic H. pylori typing (Type I vs Type II), and 4 gastric cancer susceptibility loci (PSCA rs2976392, PLCE1 rs2274223, PRKAA1 rs59133000, and MUC1 rs4072037) were genotyped using TaqMan assays. Multivariable logistic regression identified older age and Type I H. pylori infection as independent risk factors, whereas higher PG I, higher PGR, and frequent whole-grain intake were protective. Susceptibility loci were not retained in the final model. The derived model showed adequate calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P = .426) and strong discrimination (AUC = 0.969), with an optimal cutoff of 0.403 yielding 94.7% sensitivity and 93.2% specificity; bootstrap validation indicated stable performance. This model may support risk stratification and targeted surveillance among H. pylori-positive patients.

Indexed as

Helicobacter InfectionsHelicobacter pyloriPrecancerous ConditionsStomach NeoplasmsAdultAgedFemaleGastrinsGastritis, AtrophicGastroscopyGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansMaleMiddle AgedPolymorphism, Single NucleotideRisk AssessmentGastrinsgastric precancerous lesionsrisk factorsrisk prediction modelsusceptibility gene

Identifiers

PMID42410859
PMCPMC13337023

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.