Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42410282›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2026

Assigning Probable Dementia Status Using Routinely Collected Electronic Health Record Data.

Natalia Festa, Kelsey Alexovitz, Natalia Sifnugel, Inessa Cohen, Isaac V Faustino, Siddarth Khasnavis, Juan Young, Mark Iscoe, Adam P Mecca, Ling Han and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Natalia FestaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4487-6832
Kelsey AlexovitzDepartment of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2041-2048
Natalia SifnugelDepartment of Emergency Medicine and Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Inessa CohenDepartment of Biomedical Informatics and Data Science, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5807-2635
Isaac V FaustinoDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7445-4265
Siddarth KhasnavisDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Juan YoungDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Mark IscoeDepartment of Biomedical Informatics and Data Science, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Adam P MeccaDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Ling HanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Ula HwangDepartment of Emergency Medicine and Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3715-3073

Funding

Yale Study Support Suite (YES3): Dashboard and Web Portal Software Supporting Research Workflow through integrated, customizable REDCap External ModulesP30AG021342 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Lauren Ferrante · 2002 to 2026
$37.9M
Utilizing Technology and AI Approaches to Facilitate Independence andResilience in Older AdultsP30AG073104 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Alexis Battle · 2021 to 2026
$31.2M
Institutional Career Development CoreKL2TR001862 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI CANTLEY, LLOYD G, EDELMAN, E. JENNIFER · 2016 to 2025
$12.2M
Geriatrics Emergency care Applied Research Network 2.1 - AdvanCing and Expanding Dementia care (GEAR 2.1 - ACED)R33AG069822 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Ula Y Hwang, MANISH N SHAH · 2023 to 2026
$5.3M
Investigating Nursing Home Emergency Preparedness for Environmental and Climatological Determinants of Resident HealthR03AG088893 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI FESTA, NATALIA · 2024 to 2024
$335k
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR001862NIA NIH HHS P30 AG021342NIA NIH HHS P30AG021342NIA NIH HHS P30 AG073104NIA NIH HHS P30AG073104NIA NIH HHS R03 AG088893NIA NIH HHS R03AG088893NIA NIH HHS R33 AG069822NIA NIH HHS R33AG069822NIH HHS KL2TR001862
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionMore than half of older adults with Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD) are undiagnosed, limiting timely access to person-centered care. Therefore, clinicians, researchers, and population health managers need scalable, reproducible approaches to monitor both prevalence and diagnostic gaps. We evaluated whether a decision-analytic modeling framework can translate a limited number of clinician-adjudicated cases of ADRD into a probabilistic computational phenotype for accurate, population-level assignments of probable ADRD in the emergency department (ED) setting using routinely collected electronic health record (EHR) data.

methodsRetrospective cohort study of 5000 adults aged ≥ 65 years from nine EDs within a large integrated health system (2014-2022). We randomly selected 500 individuals for clinician adjudication of dementia status (reference cohort), reserving the remaining 4500 as a phenotyping cohort. We developed the phenotype as a logistic regression model trained on adjudicated cases, embedding pattern-mixture multiple imputation to address information bias. We applied decision-curve analysis to evaluate clinical utility across probabilistic thresholds. We applied the phenotype to assign dementia status to 4500 unadjudicated patients and compared clinical characteristics to adjudicated cases.

resultsThe mean (SD) age was 77.4 (9.0) years; 55.4% were women; 102 individuals (20.4%) had clinician-adjudicated ADRD. The model demonstrated good discrimination (AUROC 0.87; 95% CI 0.82-0.91). Decision-curve analysis revealed net clinical benefit across examined thresholds (predicted probabilities 12%-32%), identifying an additional 16-18 probable ADRD cases per 100 older adults. Among those without ADRD-related diagnosis codes, net benefit ranged from 8 to 13 additional correct identifications per 100. Phenotype-assigned cases closely resembled clinician-adjudicated cases (standardized mean differences ≤ 0.20).

conclusionsA probabilistic computational phenotype derived from routinely collected EHR data accurately reproduced clinician-adjudicated ADRD status and demonstrated net clinical benefit, including among ED patients whose ADRD was not captured by diagnosis codes. Adoption of this replicable framework may enable healthcare organizations to strengthen ADRD surveillance and reduce underdiagnosis.

Indexed as

DementiaElectronic Health RecordsAgedAged, 80 and overEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMalePhenotypeRetrospective Studiesdementiaelectronic health recordphenotypesurveillance

Identifiers

PMID42410282
PMCPMC13496366

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.