Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42401579›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

North Pacific meltwater weakens the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and preconditions Heinrich Stadial 1.

Chijun Sun, Jiang Zhu, Bette L Otto-Bliesner, Esther C Brady, Sophia I Macarewich

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Chijun SunDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, USA. cjsun@ucdavis.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3668-346X
Jiang ZhuClimate & Global Dynamics, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0908-5130
Bette L Otto-BliesnerClimate & Global Dynamics, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1911-1598
Esther C BradyClimate & Global Dynamics, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7833-2249
Sophia I MacarewichClimate & Global Dynamics, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6263-3044

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Heinrich Stadials provide insights into a potential future weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), yet the mechanisms driving AMOC weakening during these intervals remain elusive. While Heinrich Stadials are associated with iceberg-discharge events over the North Atlantic (i.e., Heinrich events), AMOC weakening is known to precede Heinrich events. Here we run freshwater hosing experiments to show that contemporaneous Northeast Pacific iceberg-discharge events (i.e., Siku events), which consistently occur at the onsets of Heinrich Stadials, could trigger AMOC weakening by transporting freshwater to the North Atlantic deepwater formation regions. This initial weakening may subsequently be amplified by further meltwater release from the British and Laurentide Ice Sheets, induced by stepwise subsurface warming in the northeastern and northern North Atlantic. Our findings suggest that Siku events may have played a critical role in preconditioning the North Atlantic for Heinrich events, underscoring the interconnected nature of the global ocean-cryosphere system.

Identifiers

PMID42401579
PMCPMC13473526

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.