Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42400346›Full record

Trial reportBJU international2026

Cancer detection in the European Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC).

Niko Pasanen, Kirsi Talala, Sebastiaan Remmers, Teuvo L J Tammela, Jonas Hugosson, Rebecka Arnsrud Godtman, Kimmo Taari, Chris Bangma, Elly Den Hond, Vera Nelen and 8 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in BJU international, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Niko PasanenFaculty of Social Sciences, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.
Kirsi TalalaCancer Society of Finland, Helsinki, Finland.
Sebastiaan RemmersDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Teuvo L J TammelaFaculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.
Jonas HugossonDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Rebecka Arnsrud GodtmanDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Kimmo TaariDepartment of Urology, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Chris BangmaDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Elly Den HondProvincial Institute for Hygiene, Antwerp, Belgium.
Vera NelenProvincial Institute for Hygiene, Antwerp, Belgium.
Stephen WylerDepartment of Urology, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Maciej KwiatkowskiDepartment of Urology, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Donella PulitiOncologic Network, Prevention and Research Institute (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.
Giuseppe GoriniOncologic Network, Prevention and Research Institute (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.
Luis GonzàlezDepartment of Urology, Hospital Universitario de Getafe, Madrid, Spain.
Marcos LujanDepartment of Urology, Hospital Universitario Infanta Cristina, Madrid, Spain.
Monique J RoobolDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Anssi AuvinenFaculty of Social Sciences, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1125-4818

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo provide a comprehensive analysis regarding outcomes of repeated screening and detection of low-grade versus high-grade cancer from the European Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC). MATERIALS AND

methodsThis study analysed men aged 55-69 years at random across the ERSPC trial centres except France. Men in the screening arm were classified as ever-attenders (who attended at least one screening cycle) or non-attenders (who did not attend a specific screening cycle). Cancer detection rates (CDRs) were calculated by age group and centre across three screening cycles. A secondary analysis incorporated interval prostate cancer (PCa) cases-those diagnosed outside the screening protocol-among both ever-attenders and non-attenders. Incidence data from the control arm were included for comparison.

resultsBased on screen-detected cases, CDRs were consistently higher for low-grade than for intermediate- and high-grade cases across all centres and screening cycles. Trends in CDRs for high-grade cases varied by centre: CDRs decreased from the first to the second cycle and increased again during the third cycle in most centres, whereas CDRs increased in Spain with each successive screening cycle.

conclusionThe ERSPC data show a decreasing detection rate for low-grade cancer and substantial variation in the detection rate for intermediate- and high-grade cancer between centres across repeated screening rounds. Increasing interval and non-attender cancers indicate diminishing effectiveness of uniform screening schedules. These findings support personalised screening approaches and improved strategies to maintain participation.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerProstatic NeoplasmsAgedEuropeHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingProstate-Specific AntigenProstate-Specific Antigenmortalityoverdiagnosisprostate cancerrandomised trialsscreening

Identifiers

PMID42400346
PMCPMC13655196

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.