ArticleBMC surgery2026
A nomogram for predicting early- and mid-term native liver survival after surgery in patients with type III biliary atresia: a single-center retrospective study.
Article in BMC surgery, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundBiliary atresia (BA) is a severe obstructive biliary disease. This study aimed to explore the independent risk factors influencing the prognosis of BA in children who underwent Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE) and to construct a nomogram for predicting the prognosis.
methodsThe clinical data of patients with type III BA who underwent KPE at Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center from June 2016 to May 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to screen for independent risk factors. A nomogram was constructed using the screened variables to predict postoperative early- and mid-term native liver survival (NLS). The predictive efficacy of the model was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC), and calibration curves.
resultsTwo hundred patients with type III BA whose clinical data were available were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. Age at surgery, recurrent cholangitis, early bile drainage (EBD), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) level within 1 month after surgery were identified as independent risk factors (all P < 0.05), and a nomogram was constructed using these factors. The C-index was 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71, 0.80) for the training cohort and 0.69 (95% CI: 0.57, 0.75) for the validation cohort. Excellent discrimination and calibration were observed for both groups.
conclusionThe nomogram constructed using variables such as age at surgery, recurrent cholangitis, EBD, and postoperative AST level can accurately predict the probability of NLS after surgery, providing a quantifiable assessment tool for clinical individualized clinical management.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.