Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42391479›Full record

ArticleThe Prostate2026

Temporal Trends of Metastatic Prostate Cancer in the Prostate-Specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography Era in the United States.

Leonardo Quarta, Maximilian Filzmayer, Michele Petix, Filippo Orlandi, Jordan A Goyal, Felix K H Chun, Matteo Ferro, Salvatore Micali, Shahrokh F Shariat, Francesco Barletta and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Prostate, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Leonardo QuartaCancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montréal Health Center, Division of Urology, Montréal, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0009-0008-9523-3400
Maximilian FilzmayerCancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montréal Health Center, Division of Urology, Montréal, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0009-0005-5715-9965
Michele PetixCancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montréal Health Center, Division of Urology, Montréal, Québec, Canada.
Filippo OrlandiCancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montréal Health Center, Division of Urology, Montréal, Québec, Canada.
Jordan A GoyalCancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montréal Health Center, Division of Urology, Montréal, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0009-0006-4609-8981
Felix K H ChunDepartment of Urology, University Hospital, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Matteo FerroDepartment of Urology, ASST Santi Paolo e Carlo, Milan, Italy.
Salvatore MicaliDepartment of Urology, AOU di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
Shahrokh F ShariatDepartment of Urology, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
Francesco BarlettaDivision of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3585-3217
Armando StabileDivision of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Giorgio GandagliaDivision of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Francesco MontorsiDivision of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Fred SaadCancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montréal Health Center, Division of Urology, Montréal, Québec, Canada.
Alberto BrigantiDivision of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Pierre I KarakiewiczCancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montréal Health Center, Division of Urology, Montréal, Québec, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionTemporal trends of metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) in the prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography (PSMA PET) era in the United States are not known.

methodsIn the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2018-2022), all PCa patients were identified. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and multivariable logistic regression (MLR) models tested the effect of the PSMA PET era (2021-2022) on mPCa rate and its substages (M1a, M1b, M1c) rates.

resultsOverall, 236,723 PCa patients were identified. Of those, 20,450 (8.6%) harbored mPCa. mPCa rate increased from 7.9% in 2018 to 9.4% in 2022 (EAPC: +4.7%, p = 0.019). In MLR model, PSMA PET era independently predicted 1.1-fold (p < 0.001) increase in mPCa. Within mPCa patients, 1,564 (8.0%), 14,806 (72.0%), and 4,080 (20.0%) harbored M1a, M1b, and M1c substages. M1a and M1b substages rates increased in PSMA PET era (M1a: from 6.3% in 2018 to 9.1% in 2022, EAPC: +9.3%, p = 0.009; M1b: from 70.3% in 2018 to 74.7% in 2022, EAPC: +1.7%, p = 0.043), but not M1c (from 23.3% in 2018 to 16.2% in 2022, EAPC: -8.7%, p = 0.036). In MLR models, PSMA PET era independently predicted 1.3-fold increase (p < 0.001) in M1a, 1.2-fold increase (p < 0.001) in M1b, but 0.7-fold (p < 0.001) decrease in M1c.

conclusionThe introduction of PSMA PET resulted in an increase in the proportion of mPCa patients in the United States. Within those, M1a and M1b substages increased, but M1c decreased. These observations suggest a stage migration phenomenon, where low burden mPCa (M1a and M1b) is diagnosed more frequently at the expense of high burden mPCa (M1c).

Indexed as

Antigens, SurfaceGlutamate Carboxypeptidase IIPositron-Emission TomographyProstatic NeoplasmsAgedHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisSEER ProgramUnited StatesAntigens, SurfaceFOLH1 protein, humanGlutamate Carboxypeptidase IImetastaticprostate cancerPSMA PETSEER databasestage migration

Identifiers

PMID42391479
PMCPMC13475286

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.