Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42381393›Full record

ArticleAge and ageing2026

Overall and cause-specific mortality and associated risk factors among middle-aged and older South Africans: findings from the health and ageing in Africa: a longitudinal study of an INDEPTH community in rural South Africa (HAALSI).

Chodziwadziwa Whiteson Kabudula, Belinda J Njiro, Morelearnings Sibanda, Tobias Chirwa, Brian Houle, Daniel Ohene-Kwofie, Carren Ginsburg, Thomas Gaziano, Francesc Xavier Gómez-Olivé, Kathleen Kahn and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Age and ageing, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Chodziwadziwa Whiteson KabudulaSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-5867-0336
Belinda J NjiroSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-8312-0643
Morelearnings SibandaSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Tobias ChirwaSchool of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0003-4344-0842
Brian HouleSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Daniel Ohene-KwofieSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Carren GinsburgSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-8391-8268
Thomas GazianoDepartment of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Francesc Xavier Gómez-OlivéSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Kathleen KahnSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Lisa BerkmanSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Stephen M TollmanSAMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.

Funding

SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC PREDICTORS OF PHYSICAL AND COGNITIVE FUNCTIONP01AG041710 · NIA · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Julia Katherine Rohr · 2013 to 2026
$37.3M
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG041710Wellcome Trust 058893/Z/99/AWellcome Trust 069683/Z/02/ZWellcome Trust 085477/B/08/ZWellcome Trust 085477/Z/08/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAssessing mortality levels, causes of death and associated risk factors is critical for strengthening health systems and guiding targeted health interventions. We examined overall and cause-specific mortality and their associated risk factors among middle-aged and older adults in a rural, rapidly transitioning South African setting.

methodsData were drawn from the Health and Ageing in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community (HAALSI) cohort. Risk factors for mortality from 2014/2015 to 2021 were analysed using Cox-Proportional Hazards and Fine and Gray competing-risk models.

resultsThe 5059 adults aged 40 years and older at enrolment in the HAALSI cohort in 2014/2015 experienced 1116 (22.1%) deaths over 28 955 person-years of follow-up by 2021. Overall, mortality was higher in men (48.3 deaths per 1000 person-years) than women (30.7 deaths per 1000 person-years). Risk of death increased with age and was significantly associated with male sex, lower education, history of smoking or alcohol use, poor self-rated health, underweight, limitations in activities of daily living, slower walk speed, lower grip strength and histories of hypertension, diabetes, stroke, tuberculosis and unsuppressed Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infection. Cardiovascular diseases were the leading causes of death (30.3%) in both men (25.9%) and women (35.8%), followed by other infectious diseases (23.8%), neoplasms (14.4%), HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis (10.1%).

conclusionThese findings highlight the dual mortality burden from non-communicable and infectious diseases among older adults in rural South Africa. Integrated interventions targeting non-communicable diseases, infectious diseases and physical function are urgently needed to reduce premature mortality and improve health outcomes.

Indexed as

AgingMortalityRural PopulationAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCause of DeathFemaleHealth StatusHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSouth Africacardiovascular diseasescause of deathmiddle-aged and older adultsmortalitySouth Africa

Identifiers

PMID42381393
PMCPMC13318849

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.