Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42380198›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Warming climate has lengthened global intense tropical cyclone seasons.

Jimin Liu, Jeremy Cheuk-Hin Leung, Dingchi Zhao, Daosheng Xu, Hong Huang, Zengliang Zang, Wenshou Tian, Yaoming Ma, Yi Li, Banglin Zhang

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jimin Liu *College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-2137-6247
Jeremy Cheuk-Hin Leung *College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4325-1083
Dingchi ZhaoCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2711-7984
Daosheng XuCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China.
Hong HuangCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China.
Zengliang ZangCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China.
Wenshou TianCollege of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4700-4194
Yaoming MaState Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science and Frozen Soil Engineering, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8387-8721
Yi LiCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China. liyiqxxy@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-3871-773X
Banglin ZhangCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China. zhangbanglin24@nudt.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7836-8102

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42405038National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42405159
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Intense tropical cyclones (TCs), which pose serious threats to human life and property, often occur within a short period of time each year, known as the intense TC season. Changes in the lengths of intense TC seasons under climate change are critical scientific and socioeconomic issues. While trends in overall TC seasons have been widely studied, the response of intense TC seasons to climate change remains underexplored. Here, we show that intense TC seasons have been lengthening globally since 1980, with statistically significant increasing trends ranging from 9.9-13.8 days/decade across all basins, equivalent to 7.4-21.9% increase in intense TC season lengths per decade. This is primarily due to the enhancing probability of off-season TCs experiencing rapid intensification, which is partly driven by oceanic warming. Meanwhile, changes in background atmospheric circulation play a role in the complexity of intense TC seasonality change. As a result, off-season TCs are more likely to develop into intense TCs. The findings in this study indicate an increasing exposure of human societies to intense TC risks outside historical seasonal norms. This suggests the urgent need for preparation and mitigation measures for the potential risks of intense TCs under future climate change.

Identifiers

PMID42380198
PMCPMC13458491

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.