Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42380047›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2026

HPV Serology and Circulating Viral DNA for Detection, Genotyping, and Measurement of Disease Burden in Oropharyngeal Cancer.

Lucas Penny, Eric Yang Stutheit-Zhao, Birgitta E Michels, Fabian Rosing, Zhen Zhao, Yangqiao Zheng, Jinfeng Zou, Shao Hui Huang, Johnny Carlton, Andrew McPartlin and 14 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Lucas PennyDepartment of Medical Biophysics, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Eric Yang Stutheit-ZhaoPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Birgitta E MichelsInfections and Cancer Epidemiology Division, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Fabian RosingInfections and Cancer Epidemiology Division, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Zhen ZhaoPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Yangqiao ZhengPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Jinfeng ZouPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Shao Hui HuangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Johnny CarltonDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Andrew McPartlinDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
John R de AlmeidaDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery/Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1546-5033
David GoldsteinDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery/Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Andrew HopePrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Ali HosniDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
John KimDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Fei-Fei LiuPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4344-6486
C Jillian TsaiPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8051-0787
John N WaldronPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1050-7329
Anna SpreaficoDivision of Medical Oncology & Haematology, Department of Medicine, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3034-3042
Enrique Sanz-GarciaDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery/Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3119-3832
Lillian L SiuPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3500-0540
Tim WaterboerInfections and Cancer Epidemiology Division, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0616-6963
Geoffrey LiuDepartment of Medical Biophysics, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2603-7296
Scott V BratmanDepartment of Medical Biophysics, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8610-4908

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The incidence of human papillomavirus-positive (HPV+) oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) has increased rapidly, and HPV early antigen serology has been proposed as a scalable and cost-effective early detection test. HPV seropositivity can precede clinical presentation of OPC by several years, so additional surveillance procedures may be necessary to optimize early cancer detection. The potential for HPV circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to confirm a diagnosis of OPC in seropositive individuals is poorly understood. Here, we assess the relationship between HPV serology and HPV ctDNA with disease burden in a large cohort of HPV+ OPC. We analyzed baseline blood samples from 262 patients using a multiplex serology assay and an HPV-targeted deep sequencing assay (HPV-seq), and HPV-seq results were validated by an orthogonal droplet digital PCR assay. Both assays identified HPV16 as the most prevalent genotype (84%), with serology results indicating a total of 4 HPV genotypes and HPV ctDNA results indicating a total of 6 HPV genotypes. HPV ctDNA results demonstrated higher sensitivity and lower cross-reactivity between HPV types compared with HPV serology results. Furthermore, HPV ctDNA but not HPV16 E6 antibody levels were positively associated with disease burden as determined by N-category, overall stage, and by tumor volume (ctDNA vs. volume, r = 0.48 p = 6.4e-12; E6 vs. volume, r = -0.079 p = 0.26). Overall, this is the largest cohort to compare HPV serology and HPV ctDNA results in OPC, and these findings highlight the potential for ctDNA to augment future strategies for blood-based early detection of HPV+ OPC.

Indexed as

Circulating Tumor DNADNA, ViralHuman Papillomavirus VirusesOropharyngeal NeoplasmsPapillomaviridaePapillomavirus InfectionsAdultAgedAntibodies, ViralFemaleGenotypeHuman papillomavirus 16HumansMaleMiddle AgedAntibodies, ViralCirculating Tumor DNADNA, Viralcirculating tumor DNA (ctDNA)HPV serologyoropharyngeal cancerrisk‐stratification

Identifiers

PMID42380047
PMCPMC13547982

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.