ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2026
Quantifying the potential of alcohol policies for cancer prevention in the EU: a modelling study.
Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Alcohol policy modelling studies require realistic assumptions.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2026Article
- Alcohol policy modelling studies require realistic assumptions-authors' reply.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2026Article
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: Alcohol is a major preventable risk factor for cancer, causally linked to seven types of cancer. Yet the potential cancer-preventive impact of population-level alcohol control policies remains unquantified; this study provides the first such estimates for the European Union (EU). Methods: We conducted a modelling analysis for 27 EU countries to estimate changes in alcohol consumption and alcohol-attributable cancer incidence. Four policy scenarios were examined, based on real-world studies from high-income economies reviewed in the Findings: In 2022, an estimated 146,194 cancer cases (16.1% across seven causally related sites) in the EU were attributable to alcohol. All policy scenarios would have reduced cancer incidence across the EU. The integrated policy scenario would avert 9220 cases (95% UI: 8568-9833; 6.5% of alcohol-attributable cases). Increased taxation would avert 8387 cases (95% UI: 7954-8 862, 5.9%), a Sunday sales ban 5491 cases (95% UI: 5365-5 618, 3.8%), and a marketing ban 6434 cases (95% UI: 5899-6 973, 4.5%). The largest absolute reductions were for female breast, and oesophageal cancers. Interpretation: Implementation of major alcohol policies could prevent thousands of cancer cases in the EU. Population-level alcohol policies represent an underused tool for cancer prevention and should be integrated within EU and national cancer control frameworks. Funding: EU4Health Programme (SANTE/2022/SI2.883729); French National Cancer Institute (INCa_19160).
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