Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42362892›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Predicting token prices in the blockchain market using neural networks.

Ying Lu, Ziyu Cheng, Zhihao Zhang, Almetwally M Mostafa

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ying LuMassey Institute, Nanjing University of Finance & Economics, Nanjing, 210023, Jiangsu, China. 2120230631@stu.nufe.edu.cn.
Ziyu ChengSchool of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, 100044, China.
Zhihao ZhangSchool of Mechanical Engineering and Automation, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Almetwally M MostafaDepartment of Information Systems, College of Computers and Information Sciences, King Saud University, Riyadh, 11451, Saudi Arabia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cryptocurrency price prediction is challenging due to high volatility, non-stationarity, and complex interactions among diverse data sources. Existing models often fail to effectively integrate on-chain metrics, sentiment data, and technical indicators, while lacking adaptive attention mechanisms and uncertainty estimation. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a Multi-Mode Adaptive Attention Network (M2A2-Net), which combines Temporal Fusion Transformers, dynamic cross-attention, and probabilistic GRUs to model multimodal temporal dependencies. The framework incorporates 47 heterogeneous features, including blockchain metrics (e.g., hash rate, active addresses), sentiment embeddings, macroeconomic indicators, and technical patterns. A regime-adaptive attention mechanism dynamically adjusts feature importance based on market conditions, while Monte Carlo dropout provides uncertainty estimation. The model is evaluated on six major cryptocurrencies across multiple market phases spanning from early 2022 to the end of 2025. Results demonstrate competitive performance, achieving a mean absolute percentage error of 1.87% for Bitcoin and 2.34% for Ethereum, showing improvements over baseline models such as Transformers, LSTM-XGBoost, and BiGRU. Additionally, the probabilistic framework ensures reliable prediction intervals with 94.3% coverage. SHAP analysis highlights that sentiment and on-chain features dominate during volatile periods, while technical indicators are more influential in stable markets, confirming the model's effectiveness and interpretability.

Indexed as

CryptocurrencyDeep learningNeural networksPrice predictionSentiment analysis

Identifiers

PMID42362892
PMCPMC13503943

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.