Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42360804›Full record

ArticleeLife2026

Estimating probabilities of malaria importation in southern Mozambique through modelling

Arnau Pujol, Arlindo Chidimatembue, Clemente da Silva, Simone Boene, Henriques Mbeve, Pau Cisteró, Carla García-Fernández, Arnau Vañó-Boira, Dário Tembisse, José Inácio and 23 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Imported malaria predominates in near-elimination settings in Southwestern Uganda.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors.

Arnau Pujol *ISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7288-6435
Arlindo Chidimatembue *Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0549-9894
Clemente da SilvaCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2083-2579
Simone BoeneISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8323-9863
Henriques MbeveCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3725-5598
Pau CisteróISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7225-4331
Carla García-FernándezISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2738-0587
Arnau Vañó-BoiraISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-1831-2824
Dário TembisseCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
José InácioCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Glória MatambissoCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7961-6566
Fabião LuisCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Nelo NdimandeCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-3288-3121
Humberto MunguambeCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Lidia NhamussuaCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Wilson SimoneCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Andrés Aranda-DíazISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Manuel García-UlloaISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Neide CananaMalaria Consortium, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5674-3792
Maria TusellISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9279-1513
Júlia MontañaISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Laura Fuente-SoroISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8580-5857
Khalid Ussene BapuCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-5010-6607
Maxwell MurphyEPPIcenter Research Program, Division of HIV, Infectious Diseases and Global Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0332-4388
Bernardete RafaelNational Malaria Control Program, Maputo, Mozambique.
Eduard Rovira-VallbonaISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4765-1076
Caterina GuinovartISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0504-4486
Bryan GreenhouseEPPIcenter Research Program, Division of HIV, Infectious Diseases and Global Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0287-9111
Sonia Maria EnosseMalaria Consortium, Maputo, Mozambique.
Francisco SaúteCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9107-8094
Pedro AideCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2379-6529
Baltazar CandrinhoNational Malaria Control Program, Maputo, Mozambique.
Alfredo MayorISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3890-2897

Funding

Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca 2022 FI_B 00148Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca SGR 01517European Commission 10.3030/890477Gates Foundation INV-019032Gates Foundation INV-067310"laCaixa" Foundation 100010434"laCaixa" Foundation LCF/BQ/PR24/12050009
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Imported malaria is a critical obstacle to achieving elimination in low transmission settings, but importation classification tools combining human mobility and parasite genomics are lacking. A Bayesian model combining epidemiological, human mobility, and parasite genetic data was developed to estimate malaria importation and geographic origins of

Indexed as

Communicable Diseases, ImportedMalaria, FalciparumPlasmodium falciparumBayes TheoremGenome, ProtozoanGenomicsHumansMozambiqueProbabilityepidemiologygenomicsglobal healthimportationinfectious diseasemicrobiologyP. falciparum

Identifiers

PMID42360804
PMCPMC13309124

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.