ArticleCHEST critical care2026
Barriers to Adopting Evidence From Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials in Critical Care: A Randomized Experiment With US Intensivists.
Article in CHEST critical care, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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5 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundRandomized clinical trials are a mainstay of medical research, but have drawbacks including time and cost. Bayesian adaptive trials can improve the speed and efficiency of clinical trials and are an increasingly common trial design in critical care. However, the complexity of Bayesian adaptive trials may prevent clinicians from easily interpreting their results. RESEARCH QUESTION: Do intensivist physicians perceive, understand, and accept results from Bayesian adaptive clinical trials differently than results from traditional frequentist trials when presented with otherwise identical data? STUDY DESIGN AND
methodsWe surveyed US intensivists from March through April 2022 about their perceptions of Bayesian adaptive trials. Within the survey, participants were randomized to read an abstract for a hypothetical new sepsis drug trial that used either Bayesian adaptive methods or traditional frequentist methods, with both abstracts based on the same simulated trial data. Participants then were asked about perceived understanding, validity, and general acceptance of the trial's methods and results. Survey responses were compared between experimental groups using Mann-Whitney
resultsWe received complete results from 273 of 592 eligible physicians (response rate, 46.1%). Participants in the Bayesian group reported lesser understanding of the methods (mean rating in frequentist vs Bayesian groups, 3.18 vs 2.85;
interpretationOur results show that despite lower perceived understanding of Bayesian trials and skepticism about elements of their validity, no substantive differences were found in intensivist physician acceptance of Bayesian trial results compared with frequentist trial results. CHEST Critical Care 2026; 4(2):100264.
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