Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42350429›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Temperate wetlands lose climate-cooling capacity under warming.

Shizhou Ma, Irena F Creed, Pascal Badiou, Sheel Bansal, Zhen Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Shizhou MaSchool of Environment and Sustainability, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8407-6632
Irena F CreedDepartment of Physical and Environmental Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada. irena.creed@utoronto.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8199-1472
Pascal BadiouInstitute for Wetland and Waterfowl Research, Ducks Unlimited Canada, Stonewall, MB, Canada.
Sheel BansalU.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, Jamestown, ND, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1233-1707
Zhen ZhangInstitute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0899-1139

Funding

Gouvernement du Canada | Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (Conseil de Recherches en Sciences Naturelles et en Génie du Canada) STPGP 506809U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) DE-SC0023084
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Temperate inland wetlands have long been viewed as climate regulators, with sustained CO₂ sequestration offsetting continuous CH₄ emissions over centennial-millennial timescales. However, the net climatic effect of these opposing fluxes remains uncertain under anthropogenic warming as they differ in both magnitude and atmospheric lifetime. We combine 19,000 CH₄ chamber measurements from 202 temperate inland wetlands with carbon burial rates from 16 dated sediment cores in North America's Prairie Pothole Region to estimate greenhouse gas dynamics over two centuries. Here we show that CH₄ emissions rise by ~1.39 kg CH₄ ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ over the historical period and are projected to approach 950 kg CH₄ ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ under high-forcing scenarios by 2100, while CO₂ sequestration is expected to decline by ~0.3 kg CO₂ ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹, driving a shift toward persistent net CO₂-equivalent source behaviour and a weakening of the long-term cooling effect that wetlands have provided under natural conditions.

Identifiers

PMID42350429
PMCPMC13448672

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.