Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42350014›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2026

Inequities in primary care respiratory illness presentations in Aotearoa (New Zealand) before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic: a retrospective cohort study using automated health record analysis.

Nikki Turner, Anthony Dowell, Rachel Blanch, Mika Hiroi, Lorraine Castelino, Jayden MacRae, SHIVERS-V Community and Primary Care team

Abstract read
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Article in BMJ open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Nikki TurnerDepartment of General Practice and Primary Care, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8760-5245
Anthony DowellDepartment of Primary Health Care and General Practice, University of Otago, Dunedin, Otago, New Zealand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0131-117X
Rachel BlanchDataCraft Analytics Limited, Wellington, New Zealand.
Mika HiroiImmunisation Advisory Centre, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Lorraine CastelinoDepartment of General Practice and Primary Care, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand lorraine.castelino@auckland.ac.nz.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-3081-6778
Jayden MacRaeDataCraft Analytics Limited, Wellington, New Zealand.
SHIVERS-V Community and Primary Care team

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEthnic and socioeconomic inequities in respiratory illness outcomes are well established. Monitoring primary care presentation rates is important for assessing health system equitable responsiveness, particularly during health crises.

aimTo examine changes in primary care respiratory illness presentation rates in Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ) by ethnicity and socioeconomic status before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. DESIGN AND

settingRetrospective cohort study using natural language processing (NLP) of electronic health records from 37 general practices across eight districts in NZ.

methodClinical interactions from 2018 to 2023 (n=10 421 399; 4 66 349 patients) were classified into respiratory categories using a validated NLP algorithm. Age-adjusted monthly presentation rates were analysed by ethnicity and deprivation across pre-pandemic, pandemic and post-pandemic periods.

resultsOverall, 15.1% (1 573 631/10 421 399) of interactions were respiratory-related, increasing from 13.7% to 14.2% in 2018-2019 to a peak of 25.2% in 2022, before declining to 15.3% in 2023. Pacific peoples had higher presentation rates than European patients both pre-pandemic (+2.2, p=0.03) and during the pandemic (+3.5, p<0.01), and the presentation rates for Pacific peoples more than doubled during the pandemic peak. Post-pandemic, rates declined across all groups with larger reductions for Pacific peoples. Higher presentation rates were consistently observed among those in the most deprived quintile. Acute respiratory presentations varied more over time, while chronic conditions remained relatively stable.

conclusionsPrimary care presentation rates increased during the pandemic, particularly among high-needs populations, suggesting responsiveness to need. Post-pandemic declines in acute presentations, especially among Pacific peoples, may indicate emerging access barriers and widening inequities. NLP applied to routinely collected electronic health record data provides a retrospective approach to analysing primary care presentations and may support future development of surveillance approaches for monitoring equity trends.

Indexed as

COVID-19Healthcare DisparitiesPrimary Health CareRespiratory Tract InfectionsAdolescentAdultAgedChild, PreschoolElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNew ZealandPandemicsRetrospective StudiesCOVID-19Primary CareVulnerable Populations

Identifiers

PMID42350014
PMCPMC13311597

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.