Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42347399›Full record

ArticleToxics2026

Hierarchical Second-Order Monte Carlo Simulation for Uncertainty Quantification in Incremental Lifetime Cancer Risk Assessment from PAH Inhalation Exposure.

Marija Živković, Ivan Lazović, Uzahir Ramadani, Milić Erić, Zoran Marković, Dušan P Nikezić, Nikola Mirkov, Rastko Jovanović

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Toxics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Marija ŽivkovićVinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Mike Petrovica Alasa 12-14, 11351 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-3415-5145
Ivan LazovićVinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Mike Petrovica Alasa 12-14, 11351 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-3877-5157
Uzahir RamadaniVinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Mike Petrovica Alasa 12-14, 11351 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-3702-0094
Milić ErićVinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Mike Petrovica Alasa 12-14, 11351 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0001-6850-3112
Zoran MarkovićVinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Mike Petrovica Alasa 12-14, 11351 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0003-0553-3263
Dušan P NikezićVinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Mike Petrovica Alasa 12-14, 11351 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-8885-2683
Nikola MirkovVinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Mike Petrovica Alasa 12-14, 11351 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-3057-9784
Rastko JovanovićVinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Mike Petrovica Alasa 12-14, 11351 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0003-0265-2304

Funding

Ministry of Science, Technological Development, and Innovation 451-03-33/2026-03/200017
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are major carcinogenic pollutants in urban air, and inhalation exposure poses health risks, particularly for primary school children aged 6-14 years in school environments. Traditional deterministic models for incremental lifetime cancer risk (ILCR) assessment often fail to adequately quantify variability and epistemic uncertainty in exposure parameters. This study develops a multi-layered probabilistic framework that progresses from deterministic calculations through one-dimensional Monte Carlo and sensitivity-guided two-dimensional Monte Carlo to a hierarchical (second-order) two-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation. The hierarchical approach samples hyper-parameters of the input distributions (means, standard deviations, and modes) in the outer loop, while exposure variables are sampled in the inner loop using Latin hypercube sampling. Applied to PAH and BaP

Indexed as

hierarchical Monte CarloILCRPAHsprobabilistic risk assessment

Identifiers

PMID42347399
PMCPMC13307831

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.