Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42337291›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Impulsive intervention strategies for temperature and rainfall-dependent visceral leishmaniasis transmission dynamics.

Temesgen Debas Awoke, Semu Mitiku Kassa, Gizaw Mengistu Tsidu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Temesgen Debas AwokeDepartment of Mathematics and Statistical Sciences, Botswana International University of Science and Technology, P/Bag 16, Palapye, Botswana. temesgen.y2000@gmail.com.
Semu Mitiku KassaDepartment of Mathematics and Statistical Sciences, Botswana International University of Science and Technology, P/Bag 16, Palapye, Botswana.
Gizaw Mengistu TsiduDepartment of Sustainable Natural Resources, Botswana International University of Science and Technology, P/Bag 16, Palapye, Botswana.

Funding

O.R. Tambo Africa Research Chairs Initiative (UID)136696
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) remains a lethal parasitic disease, disproportionately affecting resource-limited regions where sustained control measures are often economically and logistically impractical. Consequently, cost-effective and sustainable strategies tailored to seasonal transmission patterns are urgently needed. Because temperature and rainfall strongly influence sandfly populations, aligning control efforts with seasonal transmission dynamics may enhance effectiveness while reducing costs. This study proposes an impulsive control strategy within a temperature- and rainfall-dependent VL transmission model to assess how strategically timed, short-term interventions optimize disease control. We examine the effects of intervention timing, frequency, and coverage for measures including sandfly breeding site elimination, insecticide spraying, and culling infected reservoir animals. Theoretical analysis shows that the disease-free periodic solution is locally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number ([Formula: see text]) is below one, while endemic persistence occurs when [Formula: see text]. The calibrated model closely reproduced observed seasonal transmission patterns, providing a robust basis for evaluating interventions under climatic forcing. Global sensitivity analysis revealed that vector-related parameters consistently drive infection burden, while reservoir parameters show negligible effects, indicating that vector control should be prioritized over reservoir culling for cost-effective VL management. Simulations indicate that targeted interventions implemented for only a few weeks annually substantially reduce transmission. Although vector control and reservoir culling independently decrease cases, their combined application is more effective. A biannual one-week intervention reduces human cases by 95.11%, increasing to 96.6% when extended to two weeks. Initiating interventions six weeks after peak infection yields the most substantial long-term impact, achieving a 98.89% reduction at 85% coverage.

Indexed as

Leishmaniasis, VisceralRainTemperatureAnimalsHumansInsecticidesInsect VectorsModels, TheoreticalPsychodidaeSeasonsInsecticidesClimate variable-dependent VLImpulsive controlReservoir animal cullingVector controlVisceral leishmaniasis

Identifiers

PMID42337291
PMCPMC13578424

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.