ArticleJAMA network open2026
Interim Estimated Effectiveness of 2025-2026 COVID-19 Vaccines in Adults Using a Test-Negative Design.
Article in JAMA network open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Payers should cover COVID-19 vaccines for all ages and risk groups with no patient cost sharing.Journal of managed care & specialty pharmacy · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
37 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Importance: The 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccine, targeting JN.1 and JN.1-derived sublineages, became available in the US in September 2025. Objective: To assess the estimated interim effectiveness of 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccines against medically attended COVID-19 among immunocompetent adults aged 18 years or older in the US. Design, Setting, and Participants: This case-control study used a test-negative design to investigate patient encounters captured in the Virtual SARS-CoV-2, Influenza, and Other Respiratory Viruses Network, an electronic medical record-based network of health care systems (253 emergency departments/urgent cares [ED/UCs] and 179 hospitals in 7 states) from September 3, 2025, to December 31, 2025. Patient encounters with COVID-19-like illness and a molecular or antigen SARS-CoV-2 test 10 days before to 3 days after the encounter date were included. Exposure: 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccination regardless of prior COVID-19 vaccination. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes were COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters and COVID-19-associated hospitalizations. Cases were defined as encounters with a positive molecular or antigen SARS-CoV-2 test and controls as encounters with a negative molecular SARS-CoV-2 test. The odds of 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccination among cases and controls, adjusting for confounders, were compared and used to estimate vaccine effectiveness (VE) as (1 - adjusted odds ratio) × 100%. Results: In 85 725 ED/UC encounters among adults aged 18 years and older (51 841 [60%] aged 18-64 years; 51 775 female [60%]), 206 of 3941 cases (5%) and 9453 of 81 784 controls (12%) received a 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccination. Estimated VE against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters was 50% (95% CI, 42%-57%; median [IQR] time since 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccine dose receipt, 47 [27-69] days). In 26 073 hospitalizations with a COVID-19-like illness (17 530 [67%] aged ≥65 years; 13 985 female [54%]), 60 of 1022 cases (6%) received a 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccination compared with 3080 of 25 051 controls (12%). Estimated VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 55% (95% CI, 41%-66%; median [IQR] time since 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccine dose receipt, 46 [26-68] days). Among patients aged 65 years or older, estimated VE against ED/UC encounters was 48% (95% CI, 37%-56%; median [IQR] time since dose receipt, 48 [27-69] days; 33 884 encounters) and against hospitalization was 53% (95% CI, 37%-65%; median [IQR] time since dose receipt, 46 [26-69] days; 17 530 hospitalizations). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, receipt of 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccination was associated with additional protection beyond existing immunity in adults against medically attended COVID-19, including ED/UC encounters and hospitalizations, compared with no receipt of a 2025-2026 vaccine dose. These findings suggest that adults can reduce their likelihood of severe COVID-19-associated outcomes by obtaining a 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccination.
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