Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42319114›Full record

ArticleHepatology communications2026

Progression of MASH to cirrhosis, decompensation, and mortality, and the utility of NITs for detection and risk stratification.

Philip N Newsome, Claudio Sartini, Heather L Morris, Derek Gazis, Andrea R Mospan, A Sidney Barritt, Michael W Fried, Salvador Augustin, Mandy Fraessdorf, Bryan Rudolph and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Philip N NewsomeRoger Williams Institute of Liver Studies, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, King's College London, Foundation for Liver Research, and King's College Hospital, London, UK.
Claudio SartiniBoehringer Ingelheim, International GmbH Binger Straße, Ingelheim am Rhein, Gemany.
Heather L MorrisTarget RWE, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Derek GazisTarget RWE, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Andrea R MospanTarget RWE, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
A Sidney BarrittUNC Liver Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Michael W FriedTarget RWE, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Salvador AugustinBoehringer Ingelheim, International GmbH Binger Straße, Ingelheim am Rhein, Gemany.
Mandy FraessdorfBoehringer Ingelheim, International GmbH Binger Straße, Ingelheim am Rhein, Gemany.
Bryan RudolphBoehringer Ingelheim, International GmbH Binger Straße, Ingelheim am Rhein, Gemany.
Rohit LoombaDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Arun SanyalDivision of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Internal Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA.
TARGET-NASH Investigators

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecognition and management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) are hindered by variability in diagnostic practices and limited real-world data on disease progression. This study assessed the use of non-invasive testing (NIT) in MASH identification and estimated incidence rates and time-to-disease progression.

methodsAdults in the TARGET-NASH cohort (enrolled 2016-2023) were included. MASH was confirmed via medical records, NITs, pathology reports, and imaging. Patients with MASH and significant/advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis (F2/F3/F4) were included. Outcomes included progression to cirrhosis, liver-related complications, and all-cause mortality.

resultsAmong 1964 patients (median age 59, median BMI 34), 79% had data to calculate Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), 36% had FibroScan, and 29% had biopsy. Among the 776 F2-F3 patients, 17% progressed to cirrhosis over a median follow-up (mFU) time of 64.6 months. In F2-F3 patients, one unit increase in FIB-4 was associated with 14% increased hazard of cirrhosis; similarly, incidence rates for cirrhosis in patients with liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) 10-15 kPa were 60.8/1000PY (per 1000 person-years; 3.5× higher than those with LSM <10 kPa). Among the 794 patients with compensated cirrhosis (cF4), 46% experienced progression events, 13% died, and 1.3% had a liver transplant (mFU=66.0 months). Among the 394 patients with decompensated cirrhosis (dF4), 29.4% died, and 9.6% had a liver transplant (mFU=62.0 months). Higher FIB-4 was associated with increased risk of decompensation and mortality in cF4 patients. Similarly, patients with LSM ≥15 kPa had a greater incidence rate of mortality (9.1/1000PY vs. 4.3/1000PY and 3.8/1000PY for LSM 10-15 kPa and <10 kPa, respectively).

conclusionsThe burden of MASH underscores the urgency of standardizing NIT use and diagnosis. Expanding FibroScan use, automating FIB-4 calculation, and increasing awareness of NITs can improve early detection and risk stratification, thereby improving patient outcomes.

Indexed as

Liver CirrhosisNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseAdultAgedBiopsyDisease ProgressionElasticity Imaging TechniquesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentfibrosisFibrosis-4 scoreMASLDnon-invasive testsTARGET-NASH

Identifiers

PMID42319114
PMCPMC13286308

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.