Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42310480›Full record

ArticleDevelopmental science2026

Early Life Stress Affects Human Decision Making by Increasing Expectations of Volatility.

Karen E Smith, Payam Piray, Alyssa Teal, Selin Gok, Seth D Pollak

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Developmental science, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Karen E SmithDepartment of Psychology, Rutgers University, Newark, New Jersey, USA.
Payam PirayDepartment of Psychology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Alyssa TealDepartment of Psychology & Waisman Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.
Selin GokDepartment of Psychology & Waisman Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.
Seth D PollakDepartment of Psychology & Waisman Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.

Funding

Emotion Processing:Risk for Psychopathology in ChildrenR01MH061285 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI SETH D POLLAK · 2001 to 2026
$12.4M
TRAINING PROGRAM IN EMOTION RESEARCHT32MH018931 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Richard J Davidson · 1989 to 2026
$11.6M
Waisman Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities Research Center Down Syndrome RegistryU54HD090256 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI MESSING, ALBEE · 2016 to 2020
$6.0M
Quantifying the cognitive processes supporting computations of stochasticity and volatility in humansR21MH134217 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI PIRAY, PAYAM · 2023 to 2024
$454k
NICHD NIH HHS U54 HD090256NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH061285NIMH NIH HHS R01MH61285NIMH NIH HHS R21 MH134217NIMH NIH HHS R21MH134217NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH018931NIMH NIH HHS T32MH018931-30
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

People learn most effectively when they can flexibly modify strategies to accommodate environmental changes. Here, we explore how chronic early life stress influences the ways individuals weight and prioritize new information when making decisions. To do so, we examined the choices of 11-16-year-old children in a reward learning task. Children varied on their level of stress exposure. We used a Bayesian computational learning model to assess whether differences in children's decision making were driven by difference in their expectations about the task environment. Children with high stress exposure switched their responses rather than maintaining choices that had previously been effective for them when making decisions about rewards. This switching was driven by children with high stress exposure expecting environments to be more volatile. These findings offer insight into how early life experiences can shape the subsequent parameters of human learning. SUMMARY: How experience shapes an individual's ability to flexibly adjust learning strategies when making decisions is not well understood. Using behavioral tasks combined with a novel computational model, we find exposure to high stress environments biases children towards learning strategies optimal to unpredictable environments. Stress in childhood shapes the development of learning parameters in ways that have implications for decision making.

Indexed as

Adverse Childhood ExperiencesDecision MakingStress, PsychologicalAdolescentBayes TheoremChildChoice BehaviorFemaleHumansLearningMaleOutcome ExpectationsRewardadversitycomputational modelingdecision makingdevelopmentearly life stresslearning

Identifiers

PMID42310480
PMCPMC13275639

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.