ArticleEcology and evolution2026
Combining Artificial Intelligence and Local Ecological Knowledge to Document the Largest Ever-Counted Cape Buffalo Mega-Herd.
Article in Ecology and evolution, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Large aggregations of wild mammals are declining globally, sometimes before they can be scientifically documented and their ecological value understood, although non-scientists may be aware of these phenomena. Video recording of wildlife by non-academics is becoming more frequent with increasing activities of humans in natural habitats. This opportunistically-collected material can document rare or ecologically important events, such as large aggregations, and thus provide potentially valuable data for ecologists and conservationists. We used footage of a large herd of Cape buffalo recorded by a wildlife film producer in the Mababe Depression, northern Botswana, and applied automated detection and tracking techniques to count individuals as they moved across the video frame. To complement this demographic snapshot, we accessed local ecological knowledge from stakeholders to provide contextual information for a more complete understanding of the ecosystem processes potentially driving population movement and trends. Manual review of the automated count resulted in a minimum verified group size of 3676 buffalo and an extrapolated total estimated herd size of approximately 4128 (range 3676-5041), which matched herd size estimates provided by local stakeholders. To our knowledge, this is the largest documented group of Cape buffalo, which we identify as a mega-herd. We recommend research into the costs, benefits, and ecological consequences of forming such large groups. This study represents an opportunistic collaboration among wildlife filmmakers, computer scientists, lay experts, and ecologists, and highlights the value of combining contributions from different fields to generate information that can be used in conservation practice.
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