Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42305795›Full record

ArticleStatistics in biopharmaceutical research2026

An Adaptive Biomarker-based Umbrella Trial Design Using Bayesian Latent Class Model.

Jiaying Guo, Mengyi Lu, Yan Han, Leng Han, Yong Zang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in biopharmaceutical research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jiaying GuoDepartment of Biostatistics and Health Data Sciences, School of Medicine, Indiana University.
Mengyi LuDepartment of Biostatistics, Nanjing Medical University.
Yan HanDepartment of Biostatistics and Health Data Sciences, School of Medicine, Indiana University.
Leng HanDepartment of Biostatistics and Health Data Sciences, School of Medicine, Indiana University.
Yong ZangDepartment of Biostatistics and Health Data Sciences, School of Medicine, Indiana University.

Funding

Tumor Microenvironment and Metastasis ProgramP30CA082709 · NCI · INDIANA UNIV-PURDUE UNIV AT INDIANAPOLIS · PI Sara K Quinney · 1999 to 2026
$59.3M
Indiana Clinical and Translational Sciences InstituteUM1TR004402 · NCATS · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI Sharon M Moe, Sarah Elizabeth Wiehe · 2023 to 2026
$21.6M
Use Bayesian methods to facilitate the data integration for complex clinical trialsR01GM150808 · NIGMS · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI Yong Zang · 2023 to 2026
$1.3M
NCATS NIH HHS UM1 TR004402NCI NIH HHS P30 CA082709NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM150808
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A Bayesian adaptive umbrella trial design is proposed to identify effective treatments for biomarker-defined subgroups. This design employs a mixture regression model to jointly model short-term binary and long-term time-to-event outcomes and introduces a latent class model to adaptively cluster subgroups with similar treatment-outcome distributions. The model aims to dynamically borrow information between subgroups in the same class, enhancing the efficiency and robustness in testing subgroup-specific treatment effects. To strengthen the individual ethics of the trial, the design incorporates response-adaptive randomization with early stopping rules for futility and superiority. The simulation results confirm that the proposed design demonstrates desired performance.

Indexed as

adaptive designBayesian latent class modelbiomarkerinformation borrowingumbrella trial

Identifiers

PMID42305795
PMCPMC13268371

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.