Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42304410›Full record

ArticleGenome biology2026

Epistasis plays a limited role in driving entrenchment during neutral protein evolution.

Lisa Schmelkin, Sarah Chung, Allan Haldane, Jeffrey P Townsend, Vincenzo Carnevale, Ronald M Levy, Sudhir Kumar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genome biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. D81 Mutants Reveal Hidden EF-Tu Diversity while Natural Sequences Preserve Aspartate.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Lisa SchmelkinInstitute for Genomics and Evolutionary Medicine, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, 19122, USA.
Sarah ChungInstitute for Genomics and Evolutionary Medicine, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, 19122, USA.
Allan HaldaneInstitute of Computational Molecular Science, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, 19122, USA.
Jeffrey P TownsendDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA.
Vincenzo CarnevaleInstitute for Genomics and Evolutionary Medicine, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, 19122, USA.
Ronald M LevyInstitute of Computational Molecular Science, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, 19122, USA.
Sudhir KumarInstitute for Genomics and Evolutionary Medicine, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, 19122, USA. s.kumar@temple.edu.

Funding

Mapping Fitness & Free Energy Landscapes of ProteinsR35GM132090 · NIGMS · TEMPLE UNIV OF THE COMMONWEALTH · PI Ronald Levy · 2019 to 2026
$3.2M
Methods For Evolutionary Genomics AnalysisR35GM139540 · NIGMS · TEMPLE UNIV OF THE COMMONWEALTH · PI Sudhir Kumar · 2021 to 2026
$2.9M
Mechanisms of HIV fitness and drug resistance inferred from high-resolution molecular dynamics and sequence co-variation modelsR01AI178849 · NIAID · TEMPLE UNIV OF THE COMMONWEALTH · PI Ronald Levy · 2023 to 2026
$2.7M
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases AI178849National Science Foundation 1934848NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI178849NIGMS NIH HHS GM132090-04NIGMS NIH HHS GM139540-05NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM132090NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM139540
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSubstitutional entrenchment arising from epistatic interactions renders previously acceptable amino-acid states unfavorable over evolutionary time and has often been attributed to novel adaptive processes. However, recent simulations based on Potts-Hamiltonian models have suggested that entrenchment may also emerge during protein evolution governed by the neutral theory of molecular evolution (NTME).

resultsHere, we re-examine this conclusion by assessing whether substitutions permitted in such simulations are consistent with empirical expectations of NTME. Since Potts models are inferred from a large collection of homologous rather than orthologous sequences, they may allow substitutions that are incompatible with NTME. Our analysis revealed that Potts-based simulations permit amino-acid substitutions whose Hamiltonian energies (PHE, φ) often fall outside empirically derived NTME φ neighborhoods, thus allowing non-neutral evolution of domain sequences. To prevent such transgressions, we implement simulations that impose purifying selection whenever Potts-acceptable substitutions depart from the NTME φ neighborhood. When these substitutions are eliminated, we observed limited substitutional entrenchment, with site-specific amino-acid preferences remaining stable over biologically relevant timescales in neutral protein evolution. We further find that overdispersion of the molecular clock is modest and scales directly with the proportion of evolutionary lineages displaying epistasis-driven among-site rate heterogeneity, independent of entrenchment.

conclusionsThese results demonstrate that significant entrenchment is not an inherent property of epistasis during protein evolution consistent with NTME. Our findings establish baseline expectations for neutral evolution with epistasis and suggest that pronounced entrenchment observed in natural protein evolution likely reflects non-neutral evolutionary histories, including adaptation.

Indexed as

Epistasis, GeneticEvolution, MolecularProteinsAmino Acid SubstitutionComputer SimulationModels, GeneticSelection, GeneticProteins

Identifiers

PMID42304410
PMCPMC13508555

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.