Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42299053›Full record

Observational studyAddiction (Abingdon, England)2026

Evaluating the immediate impacts of the repeal of the Northern Territory minimum unit price on off-premises alcohol pricing: Findings from an observational study of online alcohol retailers.

Mia Miller, Nicola Man, Nicholas Taylor, Michael Livingston, Sarah Clifford, Michala Kowalski, Heng Jiang, Sarah Callinan, Cassandra J C Wright, Amy Peacock

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Mia MillerNational Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0755-8624
Nicola ManNational Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2224-9301
Nicholas TaylorNational Drug Research Institute, Curtin University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8700-5909
Michael LivingstonNational Drug Research Institute, Curtin University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8995-9386
Sarah CliffordDrug Policy Modelling Program, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Michala KowalskiNational Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3175-808X
Heng JiangCentre for Alcohol Policy Research, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8394-6077
Sarah CallinanCentre for Alcohol Policy Research, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4146-1244
Cassandra J C WrightMenzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9751-4005
Amy PeacockNational Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5705-2026

Funding

Australian Government Department of Health, Disability and Ageing under the Drug and Alcohol ProgramAustralian National Health and Medical Research Council 1174630Australian Research Council DE240101337Australian Research Council FT210100656
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsA minimum unit price (MUP) of AUD$1.30 per standard drink was implemented in 2018 in the Northern Territory (NT), Australia, to reduce the availability of cheap alcohol. Despite evidence of its efficacy in decreasing alcohol consumption and harms, the MUP was repealed on 1 March 2025. This study aimed to determine the immediate impacts of the MUP repeal on the price of off-premises (i.e. takeaway) alcohol in Darwin, NT, assessing the proportion of products available <$1.30 per standard drink after the repeal in March 2025, identifying whether these products were pre-existing or new to market, and analysing any broader shifts in the price distribution across all alcoholic products that could be attributable to the repeal. DESIGN AND

participantsObservational study of all alcoholic products available from three large alcohol retailer websites.

settingDarwin, NT, between October 2024 and March 2025. MEASUREMENTS: Price per standard drink was estimated, and fixed-effects panel quantile regression was used to test for price differences.

findingsWithin one month of the repeal, no beer or spirits, 5.1% of all wine and 2.5% of all ciders were available <$1.30 per standard drink, including 67.6% of the 37 wine products in vessels ≥1 L. Of the products identified at <$1.30 per standard drink, most had been available in previous months (i.e. not new or restocked). Quantile regression results showed a downward shift in price across the market for all product types, including beer and spirits, which were priced substantially above the $1.30 threshold at all percentiles. The largest reductions were observed for cheaper spirits, beer, cider and wine ≥1 L, ranging from $0.08 at the 20th percentile for spirits to $0.48 for wine ≥1 L at the 10th percentile.

conclusionsThe minimum unit price repeal in Northern Territory, Australia, in March 2025 resulted in an immediate increase in the availability of cheap alcohol products and a downward shift in the overall price of alcohol in the off-premises market, particularly for lower-priced products.

Indexed as

Alcoholic BeveragesCommerceCosts and Cost AnalysisDrinking EstablishmentsHumansNorthern Territoryalcoholalcohol policyalcohol priceminimum unit pricingNorthern Territorypolicy evaluation

Identifiers

PMID42299053
PMCPMC13486911

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.