Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42291250›Full record

ArticleiScience2026

Predicting and explaining poor prognosis in diabetic kidney disease using SHAP-based interpretable machine learning.

Man Qian, Lin Li, Yanli Cheng, Yue Hou, Shaojie Fu, Zhonggao Xu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Man QianDepartment of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Lin LiDepartment of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Yanli ChengDepartment of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Yue HouDepartment of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Shaojie FuDepartment of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Zhonggao XuDepartment of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prognostic assessment of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is essential for personalized management. This study developed eight machine learning models using data from 180 biopsy-proven patients with DKD to predict a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, dialysis initiation, or renal transplantation. Internally, the Naive Bayes (NB) model achieved the highest accuracy of 82.3%, while the logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and NB models shared the highest AUC of 0.788. An independent external validation confirmed robust generalizability, yielding an AUC of 0.834. SHAP analysis identified eGFR, serum albumin, C3, serum creatinine, and urinary red blood cell count (URBC) as the most impactful features. Feature stability was confirmed via a "leave-top1-out" sensitivity analysis. The models highlighted the predictive value of C3 and URBC by capturing non-linear patterns often missed by traditional linear methods, providing granular insights for personalized prognosis evaluation.

Indexed as

Artificial intelligenceHealth sciencesMachine learningNephrology

Identifiers

PMID42291250
PMCPMC13264261

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.