Spatiotemporal Evolution and Drivers of Highway Surface Deformation Based on SBAS-InSAR and Geodetector.

To address the lack of long-term, wide-area surface deformation observations along the geologically complex Dangxiong-Yangbajing section of the G6 Expressway in the frozen-ground region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, where conventional monitoring is insufficient, we applied Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) to retrieve surface deformation within a 2.0 km corridor on both sides of the highway from 24 November 2021 to 26 December 2024, and to characterize the spatiotemporal evolution of deformation. We then integrated eight explanatory factors (slope, surface roughness, distance to rivers, distance to faults, surface soil moisture, precipitation, land surface temperature (LST), and fractional vegetation cover (FVC)). Geodetector was used to quantify their explanatory power and spatial heterogeneity with respect to deformation. The results show pronounced spatially uneven settlement along this highway segment, with maximum annual settlement rates exceeding -45 mm/a. Five settlement centers were identified, including two major pavement subsidence zones. Distance to faults and soil moisture showed higher single-factor explanatory power, whereas FVC, precipitation, and LST also contributed to deformation heterogeneity. Interaction detection further indicated that the interactions between fault-related conditions with vegetation, soil moisture, precipitation, and LST substantially enhanced the explanatory power, suggesting that the deformation pattern was associated with multi-factor coupling rather than a single dominant environmental factor. These findings demonstrate the utility of integrating SBAS-InSAR with Geodetector analysis for corridor-scale highway deformation assessment and provide a remote sensing basis for targeted hazard assessment and risk mitigation for highways in frozen-ground environments.