Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42277831›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2026

Extracellular matrix biomarkers of T-cell infiltration and tumor fibrosis predict response to nivolumab ± ipilimumab with SBRT in biliary tract cancer: insights from the CheckPAC trial.

Martin B Rasmussen, Inna M Chen, Julia S Johansen, Susann Theile, Alice Markussen, Troels Dreier Christensen, Morten A Karsdal, Nicholas Willumsen

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02866383 (A Prospective Randomized, Open-label Phase 2 Study of Immune Checkpoint Inhibition, Nivolumab With or Without Ipilimumab in Combination With Radiation Therapy in Pretreated Patients With Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer or Biliary Tract Cancer.), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02866383 phase2completednot on this map

A Prospective Randomized, Open-label Phase 2 Study of Immune Checkpoint Inhibition, Nivolumab With or Without Ipilimumab in Combination With Radiation Therapy in Pretreated Patients With Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer or Biliary Tract Cancer.

TypeinterventionalSponsorHerlev HospitalRan2016 to 2022Enrolled160ConditionsMetastatic Pancreatic Cancer, Metastatic Biliary Tract CancerArmsNivolumab, Ipilimumab, Radiotherapy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Martin B RasmussenNordic Bioscience A/S, Herlev, Denmark. mras@nordicbio.com.
Inna M ChenDepartment of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Herlev and Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark.
Julia S JohansenDepartment of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Herlev and Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark.
Susann TheileDepartment of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Herlev and Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark.
Alice MarkussenDepartment of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Herlev and Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark.
Troels Dreier ChristensenDepartment of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Herlev and Gentofte, Herlev, Denmark.
Morten A KarsdalNordic Bioscience A/S, Herlev, Denmark.
Nicholas WillumsenNordic Bioscience A/S, Herlev, Denmark.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBiliary tract cancer (BTC) is an uncommon malignancy with limited treatment options and poor prognosis. BTC is typically characterized by a desmoplastic, collagen-rich extracellular matrix (ECM), which has been linked to immune exclusion and therapy resistance. Although immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) combined with gemcitabine/cisplatin have become first-line treatment for advanced BTC, durable responses are rare, and predictive biomarkers for immunotherapy are lacking. We investigated the pharmacodynamic and predictive potential of liquid, ECM-derived biomarkers reflecting cytotoxic T-cell activity (granzyme B-degraded type IV collagen [C4G]) and fibrotic activity (pro-peptides of type III [PRO-C3] and VI [PRO-C6] collagens, matrix metalloprotease-degraded type I [reC1M], III [C3M], and IV collagens [C4M]) in patients with metastatic BTC receiving combined immunotherapy and radiotherapy.

methodsBiomarkers (C4G, PRO-C3, PRO-C6, reC1M, C3M, and C4M) were measured in serum from 61 patients with metastatic BTC enrolled in CheckPAC (NCT02866383), treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) combined with nivolumab (n = 19) or nivolumab/ipilimumab (n = 42). Biomarkers were assessed at baseline and day 60. Associations of baseline levels and on-treatment changes with overall survival (OS) and clinical benefit rate were evaluated; longitudinal analyses used a landmark approach.

resultsHigher baseline PRO-C3 and reC1M were associated with lack of clinical benefit (p < 0.05) and shorter OS (p < 0.05). In multivariable Cox regression adjusting for CA 19 - 9, ECOG performance status, and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score, PRO-C3 remained independently associated with OS. Longitudinally, C4G increased from baseline to day 60 in all patients with clinical benefit (p < 0.001), whereas no consistent changes were observed among patients without clinical benefit. For the landmark analyses, C4G increase was associated with clinical benefit (p = 0.007) and longer OS (p = 0.0045). Patients with low PRO-C3 and increased C4G at day 60 showed the most favorable survival, including a subgroup without RECIST-defined clinical benefit (p < 0.001).

conclusionsSerological biomarkers reflecting tumor fibrosis (PRO-C3) and cytotoxic T-cell infiltration (C4G) were associated with clinical benefit and OS and showed pharmacodynamic changes during therapy in patients with metastatic BTC treated with SBRT plus ICI. These biomarkers enable tracking of pharmacodynamic response to ICI, while independent validation is necessary to ensure their predictive utility in immunotherapy.

Indexed as

Biliary Tract NeoplasmsBiomarkers, TumorExtracellular MatrixIpilimumabNivolumabRadiosurgeryT-LymphocytesAgedClinical Trials, Phase II as TopicFemaleFibrosisHumansMaleMiddle AgedRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicTreatment OutcomeBiomarkers, TumorIpilimumabNivolumabBiliary tract cancerExtracellular matrixImmune exclusionImmunotherapyLiquid biopsyRadiotherapyTumor fibrosisTumor microenvironment

Identifiers

PMID42277831
PMCPMC13488201

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.