Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42277707›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2026

Impact of time to ablation on survival outcomes in patients with colorectal liver metastases: an inverse probability-weighted cohort study.

Xiaoning Yue, Yaqing Kong, Xiaoyu Huang, Fan Tang, Xiaojing Cao, Xiang Zhou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Xiaoning Yue *Department of Interventional Therapy, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China.
Yaqing Kong *Department of Interventional Therapy, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China.
Xiaoyu HuangDepartment of Interventional Therapy, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China.
Fan TangDepartment of Interventional Therapy, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China.
Xiaojing CaoDepartment of Interventional Therapy, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China.
Xiang ZhouDepartment of Interventional Therapy, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China. zhouxiang2025@yeah.net.

Funding

Grant of National Natural Science Foundation of China 62271509Research Project of Fujian Ministry of Science and Technology 2019Y9053
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe optimal timing for thermal ablation (TA) in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) eligible for local curative therapy remains undefined. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of time to ablation (TTA) on long-term survival outcomes.

methodsWe retrospectively analyzed 220 patients with ablatable CRLM (≤ 5 liver metastases, maximum diameter ≤ 3 cm) who underwent TA between January 2015 and December 2022. Based on the TTA, patients were stratified into three groups: upfront TA (UTA, ≤ 3 months, n = 113), short-term delayed TA (DTA, 3-6 months, n = 59), and long‑term DTA (> 6 months, n = 48). Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was applied to reduce baseline selection bias. The primary endpoint was progression‑free survival (PFS), and the secondary endpoint was overall survival (OS).

resultsAfter IPTW adjustment, the difference in PFS among the three groups was statistically significant (P = 0.012). The 1‑, 3‑, and 5‑year PFS rates were 61.5%, 31.2%, and 30.2% in the UTA; 47.7%, 15.9%, and 4.7% in the short‑term DTA; and 53.4%, 8.5%, and 3.1% in the long‑term DTA. Multivariable Cox regression identified both short-term DTA and long‑term DTA as an independent risk factor for worse PFS (HR = 1.80. 95% CI: 1.20-2.70, PP = 0.005); and HR = 1.99, 95% CI: 1.20-3.31, P = 0.008). No significant difference in OS was observed among the three groups. Subgroup analyses showed that DTA was associated with poorer PFS than UTA in patients with CEA > 5 ng/mL, synchronous metastases, N1-2 stage, or lymphovascular invasion. Moreover, among patients receiving UTA, adding neoadjuvant chemotherapy did not provide additional PFS or OS benefit compared with ablation alone (P > 0.05).

conclusionIn patients with ablatable CRLM, UTA significantly improves PFS compared with DTA, and DTA is an independent risk factor for worse PFS. Therefore, for eligible patients, UTA is recommended in preference to prolonged systemic therapy.

Indexed as

Catheter AblationColorectal NeoplasmsLiver NeoplasmsTime-to-TreatmentAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProgression-Free SurvivalRetrospective StudiesTreatment OutcomeColorectal liver metastasesPrognosisThermal ablationTime to ablation

Identifiers

PMID42277707
PMCPMC13501733

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.