Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42277279›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Multi-scenario simulation of land use change and its effects on ecosystem service value: a case study of the three provinces in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, China.

Nijad Emer, Lanzhou Chen, Haijun Wang, Youcheng Song, Quan Wang

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nijad EmerSchool of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430079, Hubei, China.
Lanzhou ChenSchool of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430079, Hubei, China. nijademer@whu.edu.cn.
Haijun WangSchool of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430079, Hubei, China.
Youcheng SongSchool of Geographical Sciences, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, 410081, Hunan, China.
Quan WangCollege of Public Administration, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics, Guiyang, 550025, Guizhou, China.

Funding

Hunan Provincial Education Department Foundation Grant NO. 25B0057
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Land use and land cover change (LUCC) exerts substantial influence on ecosystem service values (ESV). But conventional ESV valuation approaches frequently neglect temporal shifts in crop economic returns. Integrating high-resolution land use data (2000-2020) with the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model-and augmenting it with spatial econometric analysis-we project 2030 land use configurations under four policy-relevant scenarios: Business-as-Usual (BAU), Economic Development Priority (EDP), Ecological Protection Priority (EPP), and Ecological Economic Balance (EEB). Under EDP, construction land expands by 5.52%, critically low-ESV areas increase by 476.83 km

Indexed as

Ecosystem service valueLUCC simulationMiddle reaches of the Yangtze RiverMulti-scenario simulationPLUS model

Identifiers

PMID42277279
PMCPMC13507110

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.