ArticleBMJ global health2026
The role of tropical cyclones in accelerating dengue transmission: insights from field experiments and dynamical modelling.
Article in BMJ global health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
introductionTo quantify the impact of tropical cyclones on dengue transmission dynamics and related disease burden by integrating field entomology with dynamic modelling in Guangzhou, China.
methodsGuangzhou was selected as the study site considering that it is China's most dengue-endemic coastal megacity with frequent tropical cyclones and the country's largest recorded dengue outbreak in 2014. Mark-release-recapture experiments with laboratory simulations were performed in 2024 to assess the flight distance, reproduction and survival of
resultsDuring cyclones, Aedes albopictus maximum flight distance increased by 63.0% and human-mosquito contact rate by 30.1%. Estimated R
conclusionsTropical cyclones amplify dengue transmission by expanding mosquito dispersal and intensifying human-vector contact. Early vector control, guided by warnings, substantially reduces cases and costs.
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