ArticleFrontiers in pharmacology2026
Machine-learning prediction of pre-dose pharmacokinetics optimizes initial vancomycin dosing in critically ill children.
Article in Frontiers in pharmacology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Objectives: To develop and validate a machine-learning/population-pharmacokinetic (ML-PPK) hybrid model that predicts individual vancomycin clearance (CL) and volume of distribution (V Patients and methods: We retrospectively analysed children from two tertiary centers in China (2013-2023). A previously published one-compartment PPK model was re-estimated with the pooled dataset and used as a Bayesian prior to derive individual CL and V Results: Data from 821 children and 1,767 vancomycin concentrations were included. 29 candidate variables were screened, and six high-impact predictors - body weight, cardiothoracic surgery, estimated glomerular filtration rate, sex, ICU admission, and post-menstrual-age class - maximized performance. CatBoost outperformed the other evaluated algorithms and, under this study design, more closely approximated PPK-Bayesian posterior PK estimates than the original parametric PPK covariate model, yielding for CL: R Conclusion: An interpretable CatBoost-based ML-PPK hybrid can estimate CL and V
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