Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42272694›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in sociology2026

How to explain the German East-West divide in support of a populist radical right party (AfD): mapping socioeconomic, psychological, and cultural explanatory factors from a demand-side, voter-level perspective.

Hermann Siebel, Gülru Horozoğlu, Ursula Kessels

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in sociology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Hermann SiebelDivision of Heterogeneity and Education Research, Department of Education and Psychology, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Gülru HorozoğluDivision of Heterogeneity and Education Research, Department of Education and Psychology, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Ursula KesselsDivision of Heterogeneity and Education Research, Department of Education and Psychology, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Although the success of the Methods: Using representative survey data from late 2024 ( Results: AfD vote intention was predicted by almost all examined socioeconomic, psychological and cultural variables. Moreover, East Germans reported lower income and stronger relative deprivation, distrust of state institutions, political conspiracy mentality, use of alternative political media, populist/nativist attitudes, national identification, and importance of being German than West Germans. Yet the East-West gap in AfD vote intention was mainly accounted for by political distrust, alternative political media use, and populist/nativist attitudes, whereas socioeconomic and psychological factors did not explain the gap from a cross-sectional perspective. Discussion: This calls for further work on causally linking these frameworks to clarify demand-side mechanisms behind voting for populist radical right parties and the German East-West gap thereof.

Indexed as

alternative political media useEast–West divideGermanypolitical distrustpopulist/nativist attitudespopulist radical right partiesstructural equation modeling

Identifiers

PMID42272694
PMCPMC13246345

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.