Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42269285›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2026

General Predictions for the Effects of Warming on Competition.

Kaleigh E Davis, Tess N Grainger, Po-Ju Ke, Patrick L Thompson, Mary I O'Connor, Joey R Bernhardt

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Kaleigh E DavisDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3127-9484
Tess N GraingerDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6094-0526
Po-Ju KeInstitute of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8371-7984
Patrick L ThompsonDepartment of Zoology and Biodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5278-9045
Mary I O'ConnorDepartment of Zoology and Biodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9583-1592
Joey R BernhardtDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1824-2801

Funding

Centre for Ecosystem Management, University of GuelphNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the effects of climate change on ecological communities has been limited by a lack of general theory for how temperature affects competition. To fill this knowledge gap, we integrated Modern Coexistence Theory and the Metabolic Theory of Ecology by incorporating empirically derived temperature sensitivities into Modern Coexistence Theory's central model. We then simulated warming in consumer-resource systems and found that warming reduced both niche and fitness differences, making species more ecologically similar and competitive interactions more neutral. The greatest shifts in competition occurred when temperature sensitivities among species were highly asymmetrical. Effects of warming on competition via niche differences were comparable to those on fitness differences, suggesting that the emphasis on vital rates in global change research may overlook key biodiversity drivers. This general theory expands the domains of two prominent ecological theories and provides predictions for how warming may alter competition even in benign regions of species' thermal niches.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCompetitive BehaviorEcosystemGlobal WarmingModels, BiologicalAnimalsTemperaturecoexistencecoexistence theorycompetitionglobal changemetabolic theorywarming

Identifiers

PMID42269285
PMCPMC13252989

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.