Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42262634›Full record

ArticleBulletin of mathematical biology2026

Virulence Evolution in Host Populations with Heterogeneous Immune Responses: The Weakening of the Uncommon Weak.

Carles Barril, Marina Vegué

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Carles Barril *Departament de matemàtiques, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Marina Vegué *Departament de matemàtiques, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain. marina.vegue@upc.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7065-8623

Funding

Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación PID-2021-122954NB-100Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación PID-2021-123733NB-I00
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

How and to what extent different factors in pathogen-host dynamics shape virulence has been largely debated due to evolutionary forces acting in opposite directions. Here we present a model of pathogen-host dynamics with the aim of studying how competition between pathogens and the immune response of the host affect virulence. The model describes, and links, the pathogen dynamics inside individual hosts and the dynamics of the susceptible and infected individuals in the host population. We first show that when the hosts have an adequate immune response (so that they completely recover from the infection on a short time scale), pathogens tend to increase their virulence. On the contrary, if the hosts are vulnerable (meaning that they will eventually die from the infection), low virulences will be selected. We then move to a richer scenario in which the host population is mixed and contains a fraction p of vulnerable individuals. We see that the selected virulence exhibits biologically relevant behaviors as p takes intermediate values.

Indexed as

Biological EvolutionHost-Pathogen InteractionsModels, ImmunologicalAnimalsComputer SimulationHost-Parasite InteractionsHumansMathematical ConceptsVirulenceHeterogeneous immunityHost-Parasite dynamicsLyapunov functionsVirulence evolution

Identifiers

PMID42262634
PMCPMC13249619

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.