Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42261140›Full record

ArticleGlobal health action2026

Agreement between seroprevalence- and model-based estimates of COVID-19 burden.

Nana Owusu-Boaitey, Lucas Böttcher, Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz, Jonathan Howard, David H Gorski, Lonni Besançon, Anton Barchuk

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global health action, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Nana Owusu-BoaiteyFischell Department of Bioengineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0974-6346
Lucas BöttcherDepartment of Computational Science and Philosophy, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Frankfurt, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1700-1897
Gideon Meyerowitz-KatzSchool of Nursing, Faculty of Science, Medicine and Health, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-1156-9345
Jonathan HowardDepartments of Psychiatry and Neurology, New York University Langone School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2658-3219
David H GorskiDepartments of Surgery and Oncology, Wayne State University School of Medicine, Detroit, MI, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9805-6699
Lonni BesançonMedia and Information Technology, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7207-1276
Anton BarchukEuropean University at St. Petersburg, St. Petersburg, Russia.ORCID 0000-0002-4629-3326

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic caused significant global harm. Seroprevalence studies detected antibody increases from SARS-CoV-2 infection, assessing transmission and risk from infection. These studies and epidemiological modeling informed public health policy and behavior. Biases in early seroprevalence analyses caused underestimation of fatality risk, including the risk posed to pediatric populations and to those in lower-income nations. The scope of the pandemic was clarified by seroprevalence studies that better assessed at-risk groups and by adjustment of seroprevalence data for known data biases. Reassessment of seroprevalence data confirms the accuracy of early modeling. Public health authorities should inform the public of this modeling success and of the limitations of early seroprevalence analyses. This will prepare the public to better assess global health risk during future pandemics.

Indexed as

COVID-19Epidemiological ModelsGlobal HealthHumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2Seroepidemiologic StudiesCOVID-19epidemiological modelinginfection fatality ratemortality burdenseroprevalence

Identifiers

PMID42261140
PMCPMC13250881

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.