Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42258511›Full record

ArticlePloS one2026

Reinforcement learning for policymaking in epidemic control: A scoping review.

Oleksandr Bolshov, Dmytro Chumachenko

Abstract readScoping Review
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Oleksandr BolshovDepartment of Computer Science and Information Technology, ‌‌National Aerospace University "Kharkiv Aviation Institute", Kharkiv, Ukraine.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-5952-7524
Dmytro ChumachenkoMathematical Modelling and Artificial Intelligence Department,‌‌ National Aerospace University "Kharkiv Aviation Institute", Kharkiv, Ukraine.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2623-3294

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundManaging an epidemic demands policies that respond at the pace of the outbreak. Conventional rule‑based interventions struggle to keep up, prompting interest in reinforcement learning (RL) for designing non‑pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). However, current evidence is fragmented across diverse models and reporting styles.

objectivesTo systematically map how RL is applied for epidemic NPI design, describe modeling choices, algorithm architectures, evaluation practices, and identify trends and research gaps.

methodsPeer-reviewed studies (2014-2025, English) that applied deep RL to select NPIs were retrieved from IEEE Xplore, ACM Digital Library, ScienceDirect, and Scopus, searched on December 23, 2025. Reference list scanning supplemented database results. Predefined data items (bibliographic details, epidemic and RL model characteristics, experiments, validation methods, outcomes) were charted and summarized descriptively.

resultsOf 512 retrieved records, 10 met the inclusion criteria, and three additional studies were identified via reference-list scanning, yielding 13. Five employed value‑based methods, four policy‑gradient, and four hybrid; one study additionally incorporated model-based planning. Six simulations relied on compartmental models, six on agent‑based models, and one on a hybrid model. Action spaces were predominantly discrete restriction levels. Five studies incorporated sequence-modeling techniques to include temporal context into a state space. Eleven studies designed reward functions as a trade-off between pandemic severity and socio-economic cost. According to the reviewed studies, RL policies across various settings outperform heuristic, rule-based, and historical baselines in reducing infections, deaths, or lockdown duration while limiting economic loss.

conclusionsRL shows promise for adaptive epidemic control. Comparison is hampered by simplified economic costs, inconsistent calibration rigor, varied evaluation metrics, and limited uncertainty or policy robustness analysis. Future work should establish common benchmark environments and reporting standards, incorporate empirically grounded economic and behavioral models, adopt uncertainty-aware and probabilistic RL, develop more sophisticated control spaces, investigate more advanced algorithms, and validate learned policies prospectively to enable real-world deployment.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemicsPolicy MakingReinforcement Machine LearningAlgorithmsHumans

Identifiers

PMID42258511
PMCPMC13245796

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.