ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2026
Post-COVID Rebound in Invasive Pneumococcal Disease Driven by Resurgence of Serotype 4 Among American Indian Individuals in the Southwest United States.
Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
backgroundIncidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in American Indian (AI) communities in the Southwest United States declined during the COVID-19 pandemic. We estimated the burden and serotype distribution of IPD in the same communities in 2022-2024.
methodsWe conducted active, laboratory-based surveillance for IPD in the Navajo Nation and White Mountain Apache Tribal (WMAT) lands. Isolates were collected and serotyped. Annual incidence rates were calculated and serotype distribution was estimated. The proportion of serotypes covered by available pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV20 and PCV21) were estimated and compared by age group using McNemar χ2 or exact McNemar tests, as appropriate.
resultsIPD rates increased from 2022 to 2024 to pre-pandemic levels: from 45.9 to 62.1 per 100 000 in the Navajo Nation and 52.9 to 84.4 in the WMAT lands. Among adults in the Navajo Nation, serotype 4 accounted for 28.5% of cases and occurred primarily among younger unvaccinated males. The proportion of cases covered by PCV21 was lower than PCV20 for adults aged 18-49 years (53.2% vs 77.3%; P < .001) but higher for adults aged ≥65 years (82.5% vs 65.1%; P = .03). In the WMAT lands, no cases of serotype 4 were identified; the proportion of cases covered by PCV21 was the same or higher than for PCV20 across age groups.
conclusionsIn 2 AI communities in the Southwest, IPD rates returned to pre-pandemic levels. In the Navajo Nation, the increase was driven by serotype 4 IPD among younger male unvaccinated adults. These findings can inform vaccine recommendations and highlight the value of surveillance.
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