Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42232546›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in oncology2026

Circulating tumor DNA and prognosis in gastric cancer patients undergoing surgery: meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis.

Jidong Bian, Jinchao Liu

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in oncology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Jidong BianDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Zibo Municipal Hospital, Zibo, Shandong, China.
Jinchao LiuDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Zibo Municipal Hospital, Zibo, Shandong, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is a promising biomarker for monitoring minimal residual disease (MRD) and recurrence risk in gastric cancer. Prior meta-analyses were limited by heterogeneous cohorts, inconsistent HR extraction, and lack of trial sequential analysis (TSA). This study provides an updated, methodologically rigorous synthesis focusing exclusively on resectable gastric cancer. Methods: A systematic search of four major databases was performed to May 2025 (PROSPERO: CRD42025107578). Eligible studies included surgically treated gastric cancer patients with perioperative ctDNA assessment and reported hazard ratios (HRs) for overall survival (OS) or disease-free survival (DFS). Multivariate Cox HRs were prioritized, with one HR extracted per time window to ensure independence. Random-effects models, subgroup and sensitivity analyses, and publication bias assessments were conducted in R 4.5.0. TSA used O'Brien-Fleming monitoring boundaries to evaluate evidence sufficiency. Results: Twenty-five studies (60 datasets) were included. ctDNA positivity was associated with significantly worse OS (HR = 2.31, 95% CI 1.78-3.00) and DFS (HR = 2.36, 95% CI 1.69-3.29). Subgroup analyses showed consistent effects across detection platforms, sample sources, regions, and stages. Post-operative ctDNA demonstrated stronger prognostic value than pre-operative measurements for both OS (HR = 3.47 vs. 1.99) and DFS (HR = 4.14 vs. 1.97). Results were robust in sensitivity analyses. Publication bias was present for OS but did not materially alter pooled estimates. TSA showed that cumulative Z-curves crossed the O'Brien-Fleming boundaries and met or exceeded the required information size. Conclusion: ctDNA positivity reliably predicts poorer postoperative survival in resectable gastric cancer, with post-operative ctDNA providing the strongest prognostic signal. TSA confirms that current evidence is sufficiently conclusive to support clinical relevance. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42025107578.

Indexed as

circulating tumor DNAgastric cancermeta‐analysisprognosistrial sequential analysis

Identifiers

PMID42232546
PMCPMC13223161

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.