Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42226404›Full record

ArticleThe New phytologist2026

Spatial inference of ancestor locations suggests northern refugia for canopy-forming kelps in the Pacific Northwest.

Jordan B Bemmels, Kristy J Kroeker, Stephen R Palumbi, Rachael A Bay, Kristen M Gruenthal, Sandra C Lindstrom, Matthew M Osmond, Gregory L Owens

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The New phytologist, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jordan B BemmelsDepartment of Biology, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8P 5C2, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9996-6996
Kristy J KroekerDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, 95060, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5766-1999
Stephen R PalumbiHopkins Marine Station, Department of Biology, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA, 93950, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5195-1947
Rachael A BayDepartment of Evolution and Ecology, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9516-5881
Kristen M GruenthalDivision of Commercial Fisheries, Alaska Department of Fish and Game, Juneau, AK, 99802, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1985-5071
Sandra C LindstromDepartment of Botany, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5838-8595
Matthew M OsmondDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, M5S 3B2, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6170-8182
Gregory L OwensDepartment of Biology, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8P 5C2, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4019-5215

Funding

Genome British ColumbiaNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada RGPIN-2021-02482Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada RGPIN-2021-03207State of California RSI-19-69022
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pockets of the formerly glaciated Pacific coastline of North America likely remained ice-free throughout the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). These areas may have served as refugia for terrestrial species, but less is known about their role in the persistence of marine plants and other coastal species. We examined genetic diversity from > 1000 newly and previously sequenced whole genomes of canopy-forming kelps of the genera Nereocystis and Macrocystis and built simple ecological niche models. We then reconstructed ancestral recombination graphs and modeled the geographic locations of genetic ancestors through time. We detected high genetic diversity in both species in north-central British Columbia, in a region where suitable LGM habitat is plausible. Ancestor locations spatially converged backward in time toward this region, with multiple refugia inferred between northern Vancouver Island and southern Haida Gwaii. An expanded set of global samples for Macrocystis confirmed pre-LGM divergence with California but hinted at the possibility of subsequent gene flow. Nereocystis and Macrocystis survived glaciation in northern refugia. The northern persistence of these foundation species raises the possibility that biodiverse kelp forest ecosystems could have continuously occupied portions of the northern Pacific coastline since the LGM.

Indexed as

MacrocystisRefugiumBritish ColumbiaEcosystemGenetic VariationGeographyIce CoverNorthwestern United StatesPhylogenyPhylogeographyRecombination, Geneticancestral recombination graphkelp forestMacrocystisNereocystisnorthern refugiaphylogeographyrange expansion

Identifiers

PMID42226404
PMCPMC13373871

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.