Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42221910›Full record

ArticleThe quarterly journal of economics2025

LIVES VERSUS LIVELIHOODS: THE IMPACT OF THE GREAT RECESSION ON MORTALITY AND WELFARE.

Amy Finkelstein, Matthew J Notowidigdo, Frank Schilbach, Jonathan Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The quarterly journal of economics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Impact of oil and gas boom and busts on working-age mortality in the U.S.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Health Risk and the Value of Life.Journal of public economics · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Heterogeneity in Damages from A Pandemic.The review of economics and statistics · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Amy FinkelsteinMassachusetts Institute of Technology and National Bureau of Economic Research, United States.
Matthew J NotowidigdoUniversity of Chicago and National Bureau of Economic Research, United States.
Frank SchilbachMassachusetts Institute of Technology and National Bureau of Economic Research, United States.
Jonathan ZhangDuke University and National Bureau of Economic Research, United States.

Funding

Science CoreP2CHD065563 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI James Moody · 2015 to 2026
$5.7M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD065563
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We leverage spatial variation in the severity of the Great Recession across the United States to examine its impact on mortality and explore the quantitative implications. We estimate that an increase in the unemployment rate of the magnitude of the Great Recession reduces the average annual age-adjusted mortality rate by 2.3%, with effects persisting for at least 10 years. Mortality reductions appear across causes of death and are concentrated in the half of the population with a high school degree or less. We estimate similar percentage reductions in mortality at all ages, with declines in elderly mortality thus responsible for about three-quarters of the total mortality reduction. Recession-induced mortality declines are driven primarily by external effects of reduced aggregate economic activity on mortality, and reduced air pollution appears to be a quantitatively important mechanism. Incorporating our estimates of procyclical mortality into a standard macroeconomic framework substantially reduces the welfare costs of recessions, particularly for people with less education, and at older ages.

Indexed as

E3I1

Identifiers

PMID42221910
PMCPMC13221197

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.