Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42213844›Full record

ArticleScience advances2026

Oceanic mesoscale eddies enhance the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and its predictability.

Bolan Gan, Xin Wang, Lixin Wu, Wenju Cai, Shujun Li, Hong Wang, Bowen Liu, Jingjie Yu, Hong Yan, Tao Han and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Bolan GanFrontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES) and Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7620-485X
Xin WangFrontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES) and Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.ORCID 0009-0000-5015-9026
Lixin WuFrontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES) and Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4694-5531
Wenju CaiFrontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES) and Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6520-0829
Shujun LiFrontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES) and Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6116-0652
Hong WangLaoshan Laboratory, Qingdao, China.ORCID 0000-0003-2289-8862
Bowen LiuLaoshan Laboratory, Qingdao, China.
Jingjie YuFrontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES) and Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.
Hong YanState Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1230-096X
Tao HanState Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China.ORCID 0009-0000-4406-1727
Fan JiaLaoshan Laboratory, Qingdao, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5073-3411

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) profoundly influences marine ecosystems, fisheries, and global hydroclimate. Although traditionally interpreted as basin-scale oceanic responses to atmospheric stochastic forcing, whether its dynamics involve active ocean feedbacks remains unresolved. Using an unprecedented multicentury eddy-resolving global climate simulation, we find that mesoscale eddy-driven atmospheric anomalies in the Kuroshio Extension (KE) region are critical to PDO evolution. During the PDO cold phase, the northward-shifted meandering KE generates mesoscale sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies that intensify lateral diabatic heating gradient, driving deep updrafts that cool the mid-troposphere and weaken its northern baroclinicity. This suppresses transient eddy momentum flux and facilitates a basin-scale low-pressure anomaly, initiating transition to the warm phase. Concurrently, mesoscale eddy-induced vertical heat transport sustains SST anomalies, providing additional PDO memory. These coupled processes substantially enhance the PDO's predictability. Our findings highlight the previously underappreciated upscale effects of oceanic eddies, offering important insight into decadal climate variability.

Identifiers

PMID42213844
PMCPMC13220878

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.